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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 70.01%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for NEC had a probability of 12.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 3-0 (8.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.77%), while for a NEC win it was 1-2 (3.74%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
Result | ||
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | NEC |
70.01% (![]() | 17.05% (![]() | 12.94% (![]() |
Both teams to score 56.5% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.28% (![]() | 33.72% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.46% (![]() | 55.54% |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.37% (![]() | 8.63% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
70.23% (![]() | 29.77% (![]() |
NEC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.84% (![]() | 38.16% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.07% (![]() | 74.93% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | NEC |
2-0 @ 9.88% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.52% 3-0 @ 8.07% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 8.07% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.78% 4-0 @ 4.95% 4-1 @ 4.76% 3-2 @ 3.75% 5-0 @ 2.42% 5-1 @ 2.33% 4-2 @ 2.29% 5-2 @ 1.12% 6-0 @ 0.99% ( ![]() 6-1 @ 0.95% Other @ 3.12% Total : 70.01% | 1-1 @ 7.77% (![]() 2-2 @ 4.59% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.29% 3-3 @ 1.2% ( ![]() Other @ 0.2% Total : 17.05% | 1-2 @ 3.74% (![]() 0-1 @ 3.17% 0-2 @ 1.53% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.47% 1-3 @ 1.2% ( ![]() Other @ 1.83% Total : 12.94% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Ajax | 25 | 20 | 3 | 2 | 53 | 18 | 35 | 63 |
2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 25 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 75 | 30 | 45 | 55 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 25 | 14 | 7 | 4 | 46 | 38 | 8 | 49 |
4 | FC Twente | 25 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 50 | 31 | 19 | 46 |
5 | Feyenoord | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 48 | 27 | 21 | 44 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 40 | 24 | 16 | 43 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 46 | 40 | 6 | 41 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 32 |
9 | Heerenveen | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 30 |
10 | Groningen | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 33 | -10 | 28 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 25 | 8 | 4 | 13 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 28 |
12 | Heracles | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 27 |
13 | NECNijmegen | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 36 | 37 | -1 | 26 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 29 | 40 | -11 | 25 |
15 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 24 | 34 | -10 | 24 |
16 | Willem II | 25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 28 | 41 | -13 | 24 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 17 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 25 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 15 | 49 | -34 | 14 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |