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Willem II
PSV
Eredivisie | Gameweek 1
Aug 12, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Philips Stadion
FC Utrecht

PSV
2 - 0
Utrecht

Lang (45+3'), Vertessen (77')
Ramalho (48'), Teze (55')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between PSV Eindhoven and FC Utrecht, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: PSV 4-1 Sturm Graz
Tuesday, August 8 at 7.30pm in Champions League
Last Game: Sparta 0-1 Utrecht (0-0 pen.)
Sunday, June 4 at 5pm in Eredivisie

We said: PSV Eindhoven 3-1 FC Utrecht

With two competitive games already under their belt, the momentum is with PSV heading into Saturday's game and they will be regarded as firm favourites to claim maximum points here. Utrecht frustrated PSV in their last meeting, playing out a 2-2 draw in March, but we believe that the hosts will open their account for the new season with a positive result and performance at the Philips Stadion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 65.55%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 16.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.87%) and 3-1 (7.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.19%), while for a FC Utrecht win it was 1-2 (4.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result
PSV EindhovenDrawFC Utrecht
65.55% (0.17100000000001 0.17) 18.4% (0.135 0.13) 16.05% (-0.309 -0.31)
Both teams to score 59.99% (-1.294 -1.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.82% (-1.31 -1.31)33.17% (1.309 1.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.07% (-1.518 -1.52)54.92% (1.516 1.52)
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.5% (-0.321 -0.32)9.49% (0.3191 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.15% (-0.75700000000001 -0.76)31.85% (0.756 0.76)
FC Utrecht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.29% (-1.191 -1.19)33.71% (1.19 1.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.63% (-1.317 -1.32)70.36% (1.314 1.31)
Score Analysis
    PSV Eindhoven 65.55%
    FC Utrecht 16.05%
    Draw 18.4%
PSV EindhovenDrawFC Utrecht
2-1 @ 9.65% (0.084000000000001 0.08)
2-0 @ 8.87% (0.359 0.36)
3-1 @ 7.57% (-0.042000000000001 -0.04)
1-0 @ 7.54% (0.408 0.41)
3-0 @ 6.96% (0.184 0.18)
4-1 @ 4.46% (-0.090999999999999 -0.09)
3-2 @ 4.12% (-0.16 -0.16)
4-0 @ 4.1% (0.051 0.05)
4-2 @ 2.42% (-0.131 -0.13)
5-1 @ 2.1% (-0.074 -0.07)
5-0 @ 1.93% (-0.004 -0)
5-2 @ 1.14% (-0.079 -0.08)
Other @ 4.7%
Total : 65.55%
1-1 @ 8.19% (0.188 0.19)
2-2 @ 5.25% (-0.126 -0.13)
0-0 @ 3.2% (0.217 0.22)
3-3 @ 1.49% (-0.109 -0.11)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 18.4%
1-2 @ 4.46% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-1 @ 3.48% (0.128 0.13)
2-3 @ 1.9% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-2 @ 1.89% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.62% (-0.069 -0.07)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 16.05%

How you voted: PSV vs Utrecht

PSV Eindhoven
83.3%
Draw
10.0%
FC Utrecht
6.7%
30
Head to Head
Feb 19, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 22
Utrecht
2-2
PSV
Boussaid (33'), Van de Streek (60')
Bakayoko (41'), De Jong (57')
Oct 16, 2022 1.30pm
Gameweek 10
PSV
6-1
Utrecht
Simons (8', 60'), Til (33', 38'), El Ghazi (86', 89')
Mar 13, 2022 1.30pm
Gameweek 23
Utrecht
0-1
PSV

Warmerdam (20'), Maher (88')
Zahavi (53')
Teze (86'), Junior (90+1'), Vinicius (90+1')
Dec 4, 2021 3.30pm
Gameweek 13
PSV
4-1
Utrecht
Gakpo (27'), Ramalho (35'), Doan (51'), Mwene (70')
May 16, 2021 1.30pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV1211014093133
2FC UtrechtUtrecht119112011928
3Ajax1182125111426
4Feyenoord1274128131525
5FC Twente1264224111322
6AZ AlkmaarAZ125252314917
7Fortuna SittardSittard125251316-317
8NECNijmegen125161910916
9Willem II124351312115
10Go Ahead Eagles124351520-515
11NAC BredaNAC Breda125071221-915
12Heerenveen124261323-1014
13Groningen123361219-712
14PEC Zwolle123361422-812
15Heracles123361223-1112
16Sparta RotterdamSparta122551218-611
17Almere CityAlmere City12138627-216
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1211101031-214


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