Eredivisie | Gameweek 1
Aug 12, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Philips Stadion
We said: PSV Eindhoven 3-1 FC Utrecht
With two competitive games already under their belt, the momentum is with PSV heading into Saturday's game and they will be regarded as firm favourites to claim maximum points here.
Utrecht frustrated PSV in their last meeting, playing out a 2-2 draw in March, but we believe that the hosts will open their account for the new season with a positive result and performance at the Philips Stadion.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 65.55% . A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 16.05% .
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.87%) and 3-1 (7.57%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.19%) , while for a FC Utrecht win it was 1-2 (4.46%) . The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
Result PSV Eindhoven Draw FC Utrecht 65.55% ( 0.17) 18.4% ( 0.13) 16.05% ( -0.31)
Both teams to score 59.99% ( -1.29)
66.82% ( -1.31) 33.17% ( 1.31)
45.07% ( -1.52) 54.92% ( 1.52)
90.5% ( -0.32) 9.49% ( 0.32)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 68.15% ( -0.76) 31.85% ( 0.76)
66.29% ( -1.19) 33.71% ( 1.19)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 29.63% ( -1.32) 70.36% ( 1.31)
PSV Eindhoven 65.55%
FC Utrecht 16.05%
Draw 18.4%
PSV Eindhoven Draw FC Utrecht 2-1 @ 9.65% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 8.87% ( 0.36) 3-1 @ 7.57% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 7.54% ( 0.41) 3-0 @ 6.96% ( 0.18) 4-1 @ 4.46% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 4.12% ( -0.16) 4-0 @ 4.1% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 2.42% ( -0.13) 5-1 @ 2.1% ( -0.07) 5-0 @ 1.93% ( -0) 5-2 @ 1.14% ( -0.08) Other @ 4.7% Total : 65.55% 1-1 @ 8.19% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 5.25% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 3.2% ( 0.22) 3-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.27% Total : 18.4% 1-2 @ 4.46% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 3.48% ( 0.13) 2-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 1.89% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.71% Total : 16.05%
How you voted: PSV vs Utrecht
PSV Eindhoven
Draw
FC Utrecht
30
rhs 2.0
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