Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 65.48%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 15.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.84%) and 0-1 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.86%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 2-1 (4.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
