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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Eredivisie | Gameweek 10
Oct 16, 2022 at 11.15am UK
Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel
NEC

Sparta
2 - 0
Nijmegen

Abels (7'), de Guzman (29')
van Crooij (79'), Lauritsen (85')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Elkarouani (25'), Tannane (62'), Verdonk (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Sparta Rotterdam and NEC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sparta 3-1 Emmen
Saturday, October 8 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Nijmegen 1-1 Excelsior
Saturday, October 8 at 8pm in Eredivisie

We said: Sparta Rotterdam 1-1 NEC

NEC have been on a remarkable run of draws recently, and we expect it to continue for at least another game. Despite Sparta Rotterdam's good recent form at home, Nijmegen have been able to keep it tight at the back and frustrate teams, which they are likely to do again on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 46.76%. A win for NEC had a probability of 27.79% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (8.28%). The likeliest NEC win was 0-1 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sparta Rotterdam would win this match.

Result
Sparta RotterdamDrawNEC
46.76% (0.199 0.2) 25.46% (-0.138 -0.14) 27.79% (-0.061 -0.06)
Both teams to score 52.78% (0.382 0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.41% (0.522 0.52)50.59% (-0.52 -0.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.5% (0.46 0.46)72.51% (-0.458 -0.46)
Sparta Rotterdam Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.36% (0.30799999999999 0.31)21.64% (-0.307 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.24% (0.466 0.47)54.76% (-0.465 -0.47)
NEC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.36% (0.226 0.23)32.65% (-0.22499999999999 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.81% (0.253 0.25)69.19% (-0.25099999999999 -0.25)
Score Analysis
    Sparta Rotterdam 46.75%
    NEC 27.79%
    Draw 25.45%
Sparta RotterdamDrawNEC
1-0 @ 10.81% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-1 @ 9.26% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 8.28% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.73% (0.061 0.06)
3-0 @ 4.22% (0.028 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.65% (0.05 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.81% (0.04 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.62% (0.026 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.01% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 46.75%
1-1 @ 12.1% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 7.06% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-2 @ 5.19% (0.051 0.05)
3-3 @ 0.99% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.45%
0-1 @ 7.91% (-0.118 -0.12)
1-2 @ 6.78% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 4.43% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.53% (0.017 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.94% (0.031 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.65% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 27.79%

How you voted: Sparta vs Nijmegen

Sparta Rotterdam
47.4%
Draw
44.7%
NEC
7.9%
38
Head to Head
Mar 19, 2022 8pm
Sep 17, 2021 7pm
Sparta
1-1
NEC
Mijnans (44')
Auassar (62'), Abels (73')
Okita (28')
Akman (36'), Barreto (79'), Schone (85')
Mar 24, 2019 11.15am
Sparta
1-0
NEC
Ache (40')

Bruijn (32'), Wolters (42')
Nov 18, 2018 3.45pm
NEC
1-1
Sparta
Braken (7')
Bossaerts (59'), Dijkstra (66'), van Eijden (89')
Harroui (84')
Auassar (27')
Feb 25, 2017 6.45pm
NEC
0-1
Sparta

Golla (76')
Van Moorsel (33')
Sanusi (41'), van Moorsel (59'), Dumfries (76')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Ajax25203253183563
2PSV EindhovenPSV25174475304555
3FC UtrechtUtrecht2514744638849
4FC Twente25137550311946
5Feyenoord24128448272144
6AZ AlkmaarAZ24134740241643
7Go Ahead Eagles2512584640641
8Fortuna SittardSittard2595113242-1032
9Heerenveen2586113145-1430
10Groningen2477102333-1028
11NAC BredaNAC Breda2584132743-1628
12Heracles2569103246-1427
13NECNijmegen2575133637-126
14PEC Zwolle2567122940-1125
15Sparta RotterdamSparta2559112434-1024
16Willem II2566132841-1324
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk2445153249-1717
18Almere CityAlmere City2535171549-3414


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