Eredivisie | Gameweek 10

Oct 16, 2022 at 11.15am UK

Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel

Sparta
2 - 0
Nijmegen

Abels (7'), de Guzman (29')
van Crooij (79'), Lauritsen (85')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Elkarouani (25'), Tannane (62'), Verdonk (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Sparta Rotterdam and NEC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sparta Rotterdam

All competitions

Last Game: Sparta 3-1 Emmen
Saturday, October 8 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

NEC

All competitions

Last Game: Nijmegen 1-1 Excelsior
Saturday, October 8 at 8pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Sparta Rotterdam 1-1 NEC

NEC have been on a remarkable run of draws recently, and we expect it to continue for at least another game. Despite Sparta Rotterdam's good recent form at home, Nijmegen have been able to keep it tight at the back and frustrate teams, which they are likely to do again on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 46.76%. A win for NEC had a probability of 27.79% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (8.28%). The likeliest NEC win was 0-1 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sparta Rotterdam would win this match.

Result
Sparta Rotterdam	Draw	NEC
46.76% ( 0.2)	25.46% ( -0.14)	27.79% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 52.78% (

0.38)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.41% (

0.52)

50.59% (

-0.52)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.5% (

0.46)

72.51% (

-0.46)

Sparta Rotterdam Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.36% (

0.31)

21.64% (

-0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.24% (

0.47)

54.76% (

-0.47)

NEC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.36% (

0.23)

32.65% (

-0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.81% (

0.25)

69.19% (

-0.25)

Score Analysis

Sparta Rotterdam 46.75%

NEC 27.79%

Draw 25.45%

Sparta Rotterdam	Draw	NEC
1-0 @ 10.81% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 9.26% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 8.28% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.73% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 4.22% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.65% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.81% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.62% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.01% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.37% Total : 46.75%	1-1 @ 12.1% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 7.06% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 5.19% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.45%	0-1 @ 7.91% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 6.78% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.43% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.65% ( -0) Other @ 2.56% Total : 27.79%