Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 42.27%. A win for Willem II had a probability of 31.7% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Willem II win was 0-1 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Groningen in this match.
