Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 48.46%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 29.67% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.18%) and 2-0 (6.05%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 1-2 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.