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Willem II
Willem II
Eredivisie | Gameweek 25
Mar 9, 2025 at 11.15am UK
Koning Willem II Stadion
FC Utrecht

Willem II
2 - 3
Utrecht

Boris (17'), Thor Sigurgeirsson (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Haller (67'), Ohio (75'), Blake (85')
Blake (86'), Ohio (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Willem II and FC Utrecht, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sparta 4-0 Willem II
Sunday, March 2 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Utrecht 1-0 NAC Breda
Saturday, March 1 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: Willem II 0-2 FC Utrecht

Having made an important return to winning ways last time out, FC Utrecht should outclass a Willem II side who are quickly falling towards the Eredivisie's drop zone in the midst of a poor run. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 54.83%. A win for Willem II had a probability of 23.02% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.71%) and 0-2 (8.37%). The likeliest Willem II win was 2-1 (5.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Utrecht would win this match.

Result
Willem IIDrawFC Utrecht
23.02% (0.162 0.16) 22.15% (-0.178 -0.18) 54.83% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Both teams to score 58.94% (0.84 0.84)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.76% (1.012 1.01)40.24% (-1.009 -1.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.39% (1.035 1.04)62.61% (-1.033 -1.03)
Willem II Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.04% (0.7 0.7)30.96% (-0.697 -0.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.74% (0.813 0.81)67.26% (-0.809 -0.81)
FC Utrecht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.37% (0.357 0.36)14.63% (-0.354 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.24% (0.68 0.68)42.76% (-0.678 -0.68)
Score Analysis
    Willem II 23.02%
    FC Utrecht 54.83%
    Draw 22.14%
Willem IIDrawFC Utrecht
2-1 @ 5.99% (0.028 0.03)
1-0 @ 5.31% (-0.145 -0.15)
2-0 @ 3.11% (-0.025 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.34% (0.055 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.25% (0.081 0.08)
3-0 @ 1.22% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 23.02%
1-1 @ 10.2% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-2 @ 5.75% (0.098000000000001 0.1)
0-0 @ 4.53% (-0.214 -0.21)
3-3 @ 1.44% (0.069 0.07)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 22.14%
1-2 @ 9.81% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-1 @ 8.71% (-0.298 -0.3)
0-2 @ 8.37% (-0.178 -0.18)
1-3 @ 6.28% (0.066 0.07)
0-3 @ 5.36% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
2-3 @ 3.68% (0.108 0.11)
1-4 @ 3.02% (0.068 0.07)
0-4 @ 2.58% (0.01 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.77% (0.073 0.07)
1-5 @ 1.16% (0.04 0.04)
0-5 @ 0.99% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 54.83%

How you voted: Willem II vs Utrecht

Willem II
11.1%
Draw
11.1%
FC Utrecht
77.8%
9
Head to Head
Sep 21, 2024 3.30pm
Gameweek 6
Utrecht
3-2
Willem II
Behounek (11' og.), Ohio (37' pen.), Thor Sigurgeirsson (53' og.)
Elkarouani (45+2'), Aaronson (90+5')
Sandra (29', 43')
Bosch (45+2'), Meerveld (87'), Abdirahman Ahmed (90+5')
May 15, 2022 1.30pm
Gameweek 31
Willem II
3-0
Utrecht
Hornkamp (8'), Saddiki (53'), Van Overeem (73' og.)
Llonch (49')

Gustafson (56')
Oct 31, 2021 3.45pm
Gameweek 10
Utrecht
5-1
Willem II
Ramselaar (10', 25', 67'), Mallahi (83'), Van Overeem (90+1')
Maher (38'), van der Maarel (79')
Okyere Wriedt (35')
Owusu (6'), Saddiki (72'), Svensson (78')
May 1, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 31
Utrecht
3-2
Willem II
Van de Streek (4'), Van Beek (45+4' og.), Kerk (68')
Maher (33'), Gustafson (90+2')
Holmen (57'), Okyere Wriedt (82')
Holmen (34'), Okyere Wriedt (37')
Feb 19, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 23
Willem II
0-6
Utrecht

Selahi (77')
Ter Avest (3'), Van de Streek (11', 19'), Ramselaar (47'), Kerk (69'), Van der Maarel (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Ajax25203253183563
2PSV EindhovenPSV25174475304555
3FC UtrechtUtrecht2514744638849
4FC Twente25137550311946
5Feyenoord24128448272144
6AZ AlkmaarAZ24134740241643
7Go Ahead Eagles2512584640641
8Fortuna SittardSittard2595113242-1032
9Heerenveen2586113145-1430
10Groningen2477102333-1028
11NAC BredaNAC Breda2584132743-1628
12Heracles2569103246-1427
13NECNijmegen2575133637-126
14PEC Zwolle2567122940-1125
15Sparta RotterdamSparta2559112434-1024
16Willem II2566132841-1324
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk2445153249-1717
18Almere CityAlmere City2535171549-3414


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