Eredivisie | Gameweek 23
Feb 15, 2025 at 8pm UK
Koning Willem II Stadion
We said: Willem II 2-1 Groningen
While Groningen managed to claim an important win last week, they have been very poor on the road this season, winless in their last 10 matches on the road, while only managing five points in 11 outings to date.
Willem II, on the other hand, will enter this match with confidence after taking a point off PSV on the road last week, and we feel they will be able to build on that result with a victory at home this weekend.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 43.25% . A win for Willem II had a probability of 31.8% and a draw had a probability of 25% .
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.17% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (7.04%) . The likeliest Willem II win was 1-0 (7.65%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%) . The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood . Our data analysis correctly predicted that Groningen would win this match.
Result Willem II Draw Groningen 31.8% ( -0.09) 24.95% ( -0.04) 43.25% ( 0.14)
Both teams to score 56.72% ( 0.09)
53.51% ( 0.14) 46.49% ( -0.13)
31.24% ( 0.13) 68.77% ( -0.13)
72.27% ( 0) 27.73% ( -0)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 36.7% ( 0.01) 63.3% ( -0)
78.49% ( 0.12) 21.51% ( -0.12)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 45.44% ( 0.18) 54.57% ( -0.18)
Willem II 31.8%
Groningen 43.25%
Draw 24.95%
Willem II Draw Groningen 1-0 @ 7.65% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 7.54% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 4.91% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.22% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.48% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.1% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 2.87% Total : 31.8% 1-1 @ 11.75% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.97% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.79% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.95% 0-1 @ 9.17% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 9.03% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 7.04% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.63% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 3.61% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.97% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.78% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.39% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.14% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.51% Total : 43.25%
How you voted: Willem II vs Groningen
15
rhs 2.0
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