MX23RW : Monday, March 10 19:00:38| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Willem II
Eredivisie | Gameweek 23
Feb 15, 2025 at 8pm UK
Koning Willem II Stadion
Groningen

Willem II
1 - 3
Groningen

Bosch (49')
Boris (45')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Kwakman (5'), Resink (17'), de Jonge (21')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Willem II and Groningen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: PSV 1-1 Willem II
Saturday, February 8 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Groningen 2-1 Nijmegen
Saturday, February 8 at 7pm in Eredivisie

We said: Willem II 2-1 Groningen

While Groningen managed to claim an important win last week, they have been very poor on the road this season, winless in their last 10 matches on the road, while only managing five points in 11 outings to date. Willem II, on the other hand, will enter this match with confidence after taking a point off PSV on the road last week, and we feel they will be able to build on that result with a victory at home this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 43.25%. A win for Willem II had a probability of 31.8% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (7.04%). The likeliest Willem II win was 1-0 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Groningen would win this match.

Result
Willem IIDrawGroningen
31.8% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09) 24.95% (-0.038999999999998 -0.04) 43.25% (0.137 0.14)
Both teams to score 56.72% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.51% (0.137 0.14)46.49% (-0.135 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.24% (0.129 0.13)68.77% (-0.12599999999999 -0.13)
Willem II Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.27% (0.0030000000000001 0)27.73% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.7% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)63.3% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Groningen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.49% (0.121 0.12)21.51% (-0.118 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.44% (0.183 0.18)54.57% (-0.181 -0.18)
Score Analysis
    Willem II 31.8%
    Groningen 43.25%
    Draw 24.95%
Willem IIDrawGroningen
1-0 @ 7.65% (-0.043 -0.04)
2-1 @ 7.54% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.91% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.22% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.48% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 2.1% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.03% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 31.8%
1-1 @ 11.75% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 5.97% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.79% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.27% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.95%
0-1 @ 9.17% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-2 @ 9.03% (0.014999999999999 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.04% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.63% (0.024 0.02)
0-3 @ 3.61% (0.019 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.97% (0.016 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.78% (0.015 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.39% (0.012 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.14% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 43.25%

How you voted: Willem II vs Groningen

Willem II
60.0%
Draw
33.3%
Groningen
6.7%
15
Head to Head
Nov 30, 2024 5.45pm
Gameweek 14
Groningen
2-0
Willem II
Oosting (32'), Resink (59')
van Bergen (55')
Apr 26, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 36
Willem II
1-1
Groningen
Doodeman (56')
Bosch (59')
Schreuders (62')
Duarte (6'), Bacuna (81'), Mendes (83')
Dec 19, 2023 8pm
Second Round
Willem II
1-3
Groningen
Bosch (56')
Behounek (60'), Schouten (83')
Valente (21'), Duarte (75'), Postema (84' pen.)
Peersman (56'), Rente (64')
Aug 27, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 3
Groningen
0-0
Willem II
Rente (59'), Bacuna (90+1')
Bokila (43'), Bosch (77')
Feb 26, 2022 5.45pm
Gameweek 21
Groningen
1-0
Willem II
Meijer (14')
Suslov (62')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Ajax25203253183563
2PSV EindhovenPSV25174475304555
3FC UtrechtUtrecht2514744638849
4FC Twente25137550311946
5Feyenoord24128448272144
6AZ AlkmaarAZ24134740241643
7Go Ahead Eagles2512584640641
8Fortuna SittardSittard2595113242-1032
9Heerenveen2586113145-1430
10Groningen2477102333-1028
11NAC BredaNAC Breda2584132743-1628
12Heracles2569103246-1427
13NECNijmegen2575133637-126
14PEC Zwolle2567122940-1125
15Sparta RotterdamSparta2559112434-1024
16Willem II2566132841-1324
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk2445153249-1717
18Almere CityAlmere City2535171549-3414


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!