UEFA Conference League

Europa Conference League | Group Stage

Oct 5, 2023 at 8pm UK

Pittodrie Stadium

Aberdeen
1 - 1
HJK Helsinki

Miovski (79')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Radulovic (59')
Korkeakunnas (81'), Lingman (90')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Aberdeen and HJK Helsinki, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aberdeen

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: Rangers 1-3 Aberdeen
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

HJK Helsinki

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: HJK Helsinki 3-0 Honka
Wednesday, September 27 at 4pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga

Goals
for

We said: Aberdeen 1-1 HJK Helsinki

With both teams heading into this contest aware that they cannot afford to lose twice in a row, we expect a tense affair, one that will feature few goals. Although Aberdeen are on a high from the weekend, this is a pressure game, and the visitors could do enough to earn a point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 38.94%. A win for HJK Helsinki had a probability of 35.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (6.37%). The likeliest HJK Helsinki win was 0-1 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Aberdeen	Draw	HJK Helsinki
38.94% ( -0.37)	25.51% ( 0.02)	35.55% ( 0.34)

Both teams to score 55.83% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.9% (

-0.07)

48.09% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.74% (

-0.06)

70.26% (

0.06)

Aberdeen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.66% (

-0.22)

24.34% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.27% (

-0.32)

58.73% (

0.31)

HJK Helsinki Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.79% (

0.17)

26.21% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.69% (

0.22)

61.31% (

-0.23)

Score Analysis

Aberdeen 38.94%

HJK Helsinki 35.55%

Draw 25.51%

Aberdeen	Draw	HJK Helsinki
1-0 @ 9.01% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.53% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 6.37% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 4.02% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 3% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.69% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.42% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.06% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.89% Total : 38.94%	1-1 @ 12.07% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.38% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.71% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.51%	0-1 @ 8.54% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 8.08% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 5.72% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 3.61% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 2.55% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.55% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.21% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.29% Total : 35.55%