Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 39.35%. A win for Ross County had a probability of 34.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (6.57%). The likeliest Ross County win was 0-1 (8.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aberdeen would win this match.
Result | ||
Aberdeen | Draw | Ross County |
39.35% ( -0.2) | 25.77% ( -0.05) | 34.88% ( 0.25) |
Both teams to score 54.85% ( 0.21) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.69% ( 0.25) | 49.3% ( -0.24) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.64% ( 0.22) | 71.36% ( -0.22) |
Aberdeen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.33% ( 0.01) | 24.66% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.8% ( 0.01) | 59.19% ( -0.01) |
Ross County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.81% ( 0.27) | 27.18% ( -0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.41% ( 0.35) | 62.58% ( -0.35) |
Score Analysis |
Aberdeen | Draw | Ross County |
1-0 @ 9.38% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 8.56% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.57% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 3.99% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.07% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.6% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.4% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.8% Total : 39.35% | 1-1 @ 12.22% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.7% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.57% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.76% | 0-1 @ 8.73% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.96% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 5.69% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 3.46% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 2.47% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.42% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.02% Total : 34.88% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 31 | 3 | 28 | 31 |
2 | Aberdeen | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 31 |
3 | RangersRangers | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 22 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 19 |
5 | Motherwell | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 19 |
6 | St Mirren | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 15 |
7 | Dundee | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 12 |
8 | Kilmarnock | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 12 |
9 | Ross County | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 12 |
10 | St Johnstone | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 10 |
11 | Hearts | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 9 |
12 | Hibernian | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 8 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |