Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 5
Sep 16, 2023 at 3pm UK
Tynecastle Park
Hearts2 - 0Aberdeen
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Hearts 0-1 Motherwell
Sunday, September 3 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Sunday, September 3 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Aberdeen 0-2 Hibernian
Sunday, September 3 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Sunday, September 3 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
We said: Hearts 1-1 Aberdeen
It would not be a surprise to see a home or indeed an away victory in this match, as both sides are better than what they have shown already this season. We are finding it difficult to back Aberdeen due to their away struggles against Hearts, though, and have instead settled on a low-scoring draw here. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 39.87%. A win for Aberdeen had a probability of 34.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (6.43%). The likeliest Aberdeen win was 0-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hearts | Draw | Aberdeen |
39.87% ( 0.14) | 25.21% ( 0.02) | 34.91% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 56.78% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
