MX23RW : Friday, January 17 20:29:49| >> :600:1120602:1120602:
Astana
Conference League | League Stage
Oct 3, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Astana Arena

Astana
1 - 0
Backa Topola

Kazukolovas (15')
Karimov (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Jovanovic (7'), Radin (39')
Coverage of the Conference League League Stage clash between Astana and Backa Topola.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Astana 3-0 Brann
Thursday, August 29 at 3pm in Europa Conference League
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Last Game: Backa Topola 1-5 M. Tel Aviv
Thursday, August 29 at 8pm in Europa League
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Astana win with a probability of 43.76%. A win for Backa Topola had a probability of 30.77% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Astana win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Backa Topola win was 0-1 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Astana in this match.

Result
AstanaDrawBacka Topola
43.76% (-0.522 -0.52) 25.47% (0.448 0.45) 30.77% (0.071999999999999 0.07)
Both teams to score 54.52% (-1.452 -1.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.85% (-1.911 -1.91)49.15% (1.908 1.91)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.78% (-1.752 -1.75)71.22% (1.748 1.75)
Astana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.59% (-1.048 -1.05)22.4% (1.045 1.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.08% (-1.593 -1.59)55.92% (1.59 1.59)
Backa Topola Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.26% (-0.91199999999999 -0.91)29.73% (0.907 0.91)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.2% (-1.12 -1.12)65.8% (1.116 1.12)
Score Analysis
    Astana 43.76%
    Backa Topola 30.77%
    Draw 25.46%
AstanaDrawBacka Topola
1-0 @ 9.97% (0.461 0.46)
2-1 @ 9.04% (-0.084 -0.08)
2-0 @ 7.45% (0.118 0.12)
3-1 @ 4.51% (-0.188 -0.19)
3-0 @ 3.72% (-0.058 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.73% (-0.187 -0.19)
4-1 @ 1.69% (-0.126 -0.13)
4-0 @ 1.39% (-0.067 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.02% (-0.105 -0.11)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 43.76%
1-1 @ 12.08% (0.26 0.26)
0-0 @ 6.66% (0.505 0.51)
2-2 @ 5.48% (-0.193 -0.19)
3-3 @ 1.11% (-0.106 -0.11)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.46%
0-1 @ 8.08% (0.421 0.42)
1-2 @ 7.33% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.9% (0.137 0.14)
1-3 @ 2.96% (-0.086 -0.09)
2-3 @ 2.22% (-0.136 -0.14)
0-3 @ 1.98% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 30.77%

How you voted: Astana vs Backa Topola

Astana
90.0%
Draw
10.0%
Backa Topola
0.0%
20
rhs 2.0
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