Conference League | League Stage
Oct 3, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Astana Arena
Astana1 - 0Backa Topola
Coverage of the Conference League League Stage clash between Astana and Backa Topola.
Form, Standings, Stats
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Astana win with a probability of 43.76%. A win for Backa Topola had a probability of 30.77% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Astana win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Backa Topola win was 0-1 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Astana in this match.
Result | ||
Astana | Draw | Backa Topola |
43.76% ( -0.52) | 25.47% ( 0.45) | 30.77% ( 0.07) |
Both teams to score 54.52% ( -1.45) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.85% ( -1.91) | 49.15% ( 1.91) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.78% ( -1.75) | 71.22% ( 1.75) |
Astana Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.59% ( -1.05) | 22.4% ( 1.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.08% ( -1.59) | 55.92% ( 1.59) |
Backa Topola Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.26% ( -0.91) | 29.73% ( 0.91) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.2% ( -1.12) | 65.8% ( 1.12) |
Score Analysis |
Astana 43.76%
Backa Topola 30.77%
Draw 25.46%
Astana | Draw | Backa Topola |
1-0 @ 9.97% ( 0.46) 2-1 @ 9.04% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 7.45% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 4.51% ( -0.19) 3-0 @ 3.72% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.19) 4-1 @ 1.69% ( -0.13) 4-0 @ 1.39% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.24% Total : 43.76% | 1-1 @ 12.08% ( 0.26) 0-0 @ 6.66% ( 0.51) 2-2 @ 5.48% ( -0.19) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.46% | 0-1 @ 8.08% ( 0.42) 1-2 @ 7.33% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.9% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 2.96% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.14) 0-3 @ 1.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.3% Total : 30.77% |
How you voted: Astana vs Backa Topola
Astana
90.0%Draw
10.0%Backa Topola
0.0%20
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2025-01-17 20:23:38
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 20 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 48 | 20 | 28 | 47 |
2 | Arsenal | 21 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 41 | 19 | 22 | 43 |
3 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 41 |
4 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 37 | 22 | 15 | 38 |
5 | Chelsea | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 41 | 26 | 15 | 37 |
6 | Manchester CityMan City | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 35 |
7 | Aston Villa | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 35 |
8 | Bournemouth | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 32 | 25 | 7 | 34 |
9 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 21 | 7 | 10 | 4 | 32 | 29 | 3 | 31 |
10 | Fulham | 21 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 30 |
11 | Brentford | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 40 | 37 | 3 | 28 |
12 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 26 | 29 | -3 | 26 |
13 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 27 | 41 | -14 | 26 |
14 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 24 |
15 | Crystal Palace | 21 | 5 | 9 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 24 |
16 | Everton | 20 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 17 |
17 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 21 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 31 | 48 | -17 | 16 |
18 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 20 | 37 | -17 | 16 |
19 | Leicester CityLeicester | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 23 | 46 | -23 | 14 |
20 | Southampton | 21 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 47 | -34 | 6 |
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