M. Tel Aviv3 - 0Backa Topola
Form, Standings, Stats
Thursday, August 15 at 7.30pm in Europa League
Thursday, December 14 at 8pm in Europa League
We said: Maccabi Tel Aviv 2-1 Backa Topola
Maccabi have enjoyed an unbeaten start to the 2024-25 season and should be confident of continuing their rich vein of form against Backa Topola on Thursday night. The Serbians are struggling to find consistency domestically, so we feel that they could be the victims of first-leg defeat in Hungary. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maccabi Tel Aviv win with a probability of 60.32%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Backa Topola had a probability of 17.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maccabi Tel Aviv win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.84%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.46%), while for a Backa Topola win it was 0-1 (5.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Maccabi Tel Aviv would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Maccabi Tel Aviv | Draw | Backa Topola |
| 60.32% | 22.01% | 17.68% |
| Both teams to score 50.78% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
