Having pushed West Ham in their most recent European fixture, Backa Topola will feel that they are capable of upsetting the odds in Greece. Nevertheless, Olympiacos need a response of their own, and we are backing Martinez's side to churn out a professional win on home territory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 74.08%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Backa Topola had a probability of 10.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.38%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.36%), while for a Backa Topola win it was 1-2 (3.04%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Olympiacos would win this match.

Result
Olympiacos	Draw	Backa Topola
74.08% ( 0.05)	15.74% ( -0.01)	10.19% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 51.68% (

-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.85% (

-0.05)

35.15% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.84% (

-0.05)

57.16% (

0.06)

Olympiacos Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.9% (

8.1% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

71.55% (

-0)

28.45% (

0.01)

Backa Topola Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.23% (

-0.09)

43.77% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.07% (

-0.08)

79.93% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

Olympiacos 74.07%

Backa Topola 10.19%

Draw 15.74%

Olympiacos	Draw	Backa Topola
2-0 @ 11.19% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 9.38% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.25% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.91% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 7.75% ( -0) 4-0 @ 5.9% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 4.87% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.2% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 2.96% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 2.45% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.01% ( -0.01) 6-0 @ 1.24% ( 0) 6-1 @ 1.03% ( -0) 5-2 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 2.91% Total : 74.07%	1-1 @ 7.36% ( -0) 2-2 @ 3.82% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.55% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.01% Total : 15.74%	1-2 @ 3.04% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 2.93% 0-2 @ 1.21% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.96% Total : 10.19%