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Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 27, 2023 at 8pm UK
Seaview
Rosenborg

Crusaders
2 - 2
Rosenborg

Lowry (11'), Dahl Reitan (74' og.)
Joe Burns (88'), Anderson (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Holse (30'), Saeter (42' pen.)
Vaananen (85')
Coverage of the Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Crusaders and Rosenborg.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Crusaders 1-0 Haka
Thursday, July 20 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Stromsgodset 0-1 Rosenborg
Sunday, July 23 at 6.15pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosenborg win with a probability of 53.33%. A win for Crusaders had a probability of 24.03% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rosenborg win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.89%) and 0-2 (8.28%). The likeliest Crusaders win was 2-1 (6.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
CrusadersDrawRosenborg
24.03% (0.064 0.06) 22.64% (0.013999999999999 0.01) 53.33% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Both teams to score 58.51% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.62% (0.011000000000003 0.01)41.38% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.22% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)63.78% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Crusaders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.27% (0.057000000000002 0.06)30.73% (-0.050999999999998 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.01% (0.067 0.07)66.99% (-0.061000000000007 -0.06)
Rosenborg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.47% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)15.53% (0.026 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.54% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)44.45% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Crusaders 24.03%
    Rosenborg 53.33%
    Draw 22.63%
CrusadersDrawRosenborg
2-1 @ 6.19% (0.012 0.01)
1-0 @ 5.63% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
2-0 @ 3.32% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.43% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.27% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.31% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 24.03%
1-1 @ 10.48%
2-2 @ 5.76% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.77% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 1.41% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 22.63%
1-2 @ 9.77% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 8.89% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.28% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
1-3 @ 6.06% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 5.14% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.58% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 2.82% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 2.39% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.67% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-5 @ 1.05% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 53.33%

How you voted: Crusaders vs Rosenborg

Crusaders
20.0%
Draw
20.0%
Rosenborg
60.0%
5
rhs 2.0
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