Djurgarden have to attack on home soil if they are to reach the quarter-finals of this year's Conference League, although focusing too much on clawing back the two-goal deficit could leave them exposed defensively. Poznan have conceded just three goals in their last five matches in all competitions, and we believe they will record a clean sheet here to book their spot in the last eight. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Djurgardens IF win with a probability of 43.77%. A win for Lech Poznan had a probability of 31.37% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Djurgardens IF win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Lech Poznan win was 0-1 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Lech Poznan would win this match.

Result
Djurgardens IF	Draw	Lech Poznan
43.77% ( 0.14)	24.86% ( -0.04)	31.37% ( -0.1)

Both teams to score 56.85% (

0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.76% (

0.12)

46.24% (

-0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.47% (

0.11)

68.53% (

-0.11)

Djurgardens IF Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.83% (

0.11)

21.17% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.96% (

0.17)

54.04% (

-0.17)

Lech Poznan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.12% (

-0)

27.88% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.51% (

-0.01)

63.49% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Djurgardens IF 43.77%

Lech Poznan 31.37%

Draw 24.86%

Djurgardens IF	Draw	Lech Poznan
1-0 @ 9.16% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.09% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.11% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.7% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.68% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.83% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.43% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.17% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.6% Total : 43.77%	1-1 @ 11.7% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.9% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.8% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.86%	0-1 @ 7.54% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 7.47% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.81% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.18% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.47% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.02% ( -0) Other @ 2.83% Total : 31.37%