MX23RW : Sunday, September 29 18:49:10| >> :600:1012293:1012293:
Europa Conference League | Group Stage
Nov 3, 2022 at 8pm UK
INEA Stadion
Villarreal logo

Lech Poznan
3 - 0
Villarreal

Velde (27'), Skoras (51', 77')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Trigueros (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Lech Poznan and Villarreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Austria Vienna 1-1 Lech Poznan
Thursday, October 27 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
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We said: Lech Poznan 1-2 Villarreal

Although Villarreal have already secured their place in the last 16, we think that they will maintain their unbeaten record in the Europa Conference League by edging out Lech Poznan on Thursday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 46.25%. A win for Lech Poznan had a probability of 30.98% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.92%) and 0-2 (6.28%). The likeliest Lech Poznan win was 2-1 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result
Lech PoznanDrawVillarreal
30.98% (-0.113 -0.11) 22.77% (0.038 0.04) 46.25% (0.073 0.07)
Both teams to score 64.11% (-0.209 -0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.38% (-0.248 -0.25)36.62% (0.245 0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.22% (-0.27 -0.27)58.78% (0.269 0.27)
Lech Poznan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.59% (-0.187 -0.19)23.41% (0.186 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.59% (-0.275 -0.27)57.4% (0.271 0.27)
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.71% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)16.29% (0.065999999999999 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.14% (-0.125 -0.13)45.85% (0.123 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Lech Poznan 30.98%
    Villarreal 46.25%
    Draw 22.76%
Lech PoznanDrawVillarreal
2-1 @ 7.3% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-0 @ 5.54% (0.037 0.04)
2-0 @ 4.02% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 3.53% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.2% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-0 @ 1.95% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.28% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.16% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 3%
Total : 30.98%
1-1 @ 10.04% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 6.62% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-0 @ 3.81% (0.046 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.94% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 22.76%
1-2 @ 9.12% (0.019 0.02)
0-1 @ 6.92% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
0-2 @ 6.28% (0.047 0.05)
1-3 @ 5.51% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-3 @ 4% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-3 @ 3.8% (0.02 0.02)
1-4 @ 2.5% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.82% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.72% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
1-5 @ 0.91% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.67%
Total : 46.25%

How you voted: Lech Poznan vs Villarreal

Lech Poznan
15.5%
Draw
16.5%
Villarreal
68.0%
103
Head to Head
Sep 8, 2022 5.45pm
Group C
Villarreal
4-3
Lech Poznan
Chukwueze (32'), Baena (36', 40'), Coquelin (89')
Mandi (46')
Skoras (2'), Ishak (46' pen., 61')
rhs 2.0
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