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Europa Conference League header WWW

UEFA Conference League
Conference League | Knockout Round Playoffs | 2nd Leg
Feb 23, 2023 at 8pm UK
INEA Stadion

Lech Poznan
1 - 0
Bodo/Glimt

Ishak (62')
Pereira (40')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Berg (61'), Zugelj (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Lech Poznan and Bodo/Glimt, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lech Poznan

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Bodo/Glimt 0-0 Lech Poznan
Thursday, February 16 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Bodo/Glimt

All competitions
Europa Conference League
Last Game: Bodo/Glimt 0-0 Lech Poznan
Thursday, February 16 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League

We said: Lech Poznan 1-0 Bodo/Glimt

 We believe that Lech Poznan will edge this affair due to the inactivity of Bodo/Glimt in competitive fixtures, as the first leg showed signs of a side struggling to pick up where they left off. We think that this game will be competitive as both sides are evenly matched, but Lech Poznan will use their home crowd to their advantage and progress into the next round of the Europa Conference League. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 38.57%. A win for Bodo/Glimt had a probability of 37.86% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.7%) and 2-0 (5.34%). The likeliest Bodo/Glimt win was 1-2 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lech Poznan in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Lech Poznan.

Result
Lech PoznanDrawBodo/Glimt
38.57% (0.164 0.16) 23.56% (0.027000000000001 0.03) 37.86% (-0.192 -0.19)
Both teams to score 63.17% (-0.107 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.32% (-0.134 -0.13)38.67% (0.135 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.02% (-0.142 -0.14)60.98% (0.142 0.14)
Lech Poznan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.64% (0.01700000000001 0.02)20.35% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.25% (0.031999999999996 0.03)52.75% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)
Bodo/Glimt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.31% (-0.15199999999999 -0.15)20.69% (0.152 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.71% (-0.238 -0.24)53.29% (0.238 0.24)
Score Analysis
    Lech Poznan 38.57%
    Bodo/Glimt 37.86%
    Draw 23.56%
Lech PoznanDrawBodo/Glimt
2-1 @ 8.41% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
1-0 @ 6.7% (0.047 0.05)
2-0 @ 5.34% (0.04 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.46% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.52% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 2.83% (0.023 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.78% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.4% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.13% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 38.57%
1-1 @ 10.56% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 6.62% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.21% (0.027 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.85% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 23.56%
1-2 @ 8.32% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-1 @ 6.63% (0.012 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.23% (-0.015 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.37% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
2-3 @ 3.48% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.74% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.72% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.37% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.08% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 37.86%

How you voted: Lech Poznan vs Bodo/Glimt

Lech Poznan
66.2%
Bodo/Glimt
33.8%
68
Head to Head
Feb 16, 2023 5.45pm
Knockout Round Playoffs
Bodo/Glimt
0-0
Lech Poznan

Moumbagna (66')

Murawski (34')
rhs 2.0
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