UEFA Conference League

Europa Conference League | Group Stage

Oct 26, 2023 at 8pm UK

Commerzbank-Arena

Frankfurt
6 - 0
HJK Helsinki

Ebimbe (12' pen., 89'), Koch (27'), Marmoush (30'), Tuta (45+3'), Skhiri (55')
Koch (75')

FT(HT: 4-0)

Tenho (26'), Keskinen (29'), Peltola (42')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Eintracht Frankfurt and HJK Helsinki, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Eintracht Frankfurt

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: Hoffenheim 1-3 Frankfurt
Saturday, October 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

HJK Helsinki

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: HJK Helsinki 1-2 KuPS
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga

Goals
for

We said: Eintracht Frankfurt 2-0 HJK Helsinki

Despite losing at the weekend, HJK will be in a buoyant mood after retaining their league title, but we think their celebratory feeling will be quashed by a Frankfurt side that usually save their best performances for their home games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eintracht Frankfurt win with a probability of 65.43%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for HJK Helsinki had a probability of 14.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eintracht Frankfurt win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.97%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.7%), while for a HJK Helsinki win it was 0-1 (4.82%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Eintracht Frankfurt would win this match.

Result
Eintracht Frankfurt	Draw	HJK Helsinki
65.43%	20.4% ( -0)	14.18% ( 0)

Both teams to score 48.07% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.55% (

46.46% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.27% (

68.74% (

-0)

Eintracht Frankfurt Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.62% (

13.39% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.7% (

40.31% (

-0)

HJK Helsinki Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.5% (

44.5% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.47% (

80.53% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Eintracht Frankfurt 65.41%

HJK Helsinki 14.18%

Draw 20.4%

Eintracht Frankfurt	Draw	HJK Helsinki
2-0 @ 12.04% 1-0 @ 11.97% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.75% 3-0 @ 8.07% 3-1 @ 6.54% 4-0 @ 4.06% 4-1 @ 3.29% 3-2 @ 2.65% 5-0 @ 1.63% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.33% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.32% Other @ 2.76% Total : 65.41%	1-1 @ 9.7% 0-0 @ 5.96% ( -0) 2-2 @ 3.95% Other @ 0.79% Total : 20.4%	0-1 @ 4.82% 1-2 @ 3.93% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.95% 2-3 @ 1.07% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 1.35% Total : 14.18%