Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 8

Oct 21, 2023 at 2.30pm UK

Campo La Quinta

Hoffenheim
1 - 3
Frankfurt

Beier (3')
Grillitsch (41'), Promel (51'), Szalai (60')

FT(HT: 1-3)

Marmoush (11'), Knauff (23'), Skhiri (45+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Hoffenheim and Eintracht Frankfurt, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hoffenheim

All competitions

Last Game: Werder Bremen 2-3 Hoffenheim
Saturday, October 7 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Eintracht Frankfurt

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Frankfurt 2-0 Heidenheim
Sunday, October 8 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Hoffenheim 1-1 Eintracht Frankfurt

Should Kramaric miss out through injury as expected, that would clearly make Hoffenheim less likely to win this match, especially with Frankfurt generally proving tough to beat in any case. The hosts are yet to draw a match this season, whereas Toppmoller's side have shared the spoils in more than half of their league games, and we can envisage another stalemate between two evenly-matched sides. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eintracht Frankfurt win with a probability of 41.01%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 34.65% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eintracht Frankfurt win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.95%) and 0-2 (6.2%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 2-1 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eintracht Frankfurt would win this match.

Result
Hoffenheim	Draw	Eintracht Frankfurt
34.65% ( 0.24)	24.34% ( -0.03)	41.01% ( -0.2)

Both teams to score 59.84% (

0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.18% (

0.21)

42.82% (

-0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.77% (

0.2)

65.22% (

-0.2)

Hoffenheim Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.75% (

0.23)

24.25% (

-0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.39% (

0.33)

58.6% (

-0.33)

Eintracht Frankfurt Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79% (

-0.01)

20.99% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.23% (

-0.01)

53.76% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Hoffenheim 34.65%

Eintracht Frankfurt 41.01%

Draw 24.33%

Hoffenheim	Draw	Eintracht Frankfurt
2-1 @ 7.98% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 7.21% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 5.11% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.77% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.94% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 2.41% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.33% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.04% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.86% Total : 34.65%	1-1 @ 11.25% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.23% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.09% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.33%	1-2 @ 8.79% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 7.95% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 6.2% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 4.57% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.24% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.23% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.78% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.26% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.73% Total : 41.01%