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Serie A
Fiorentina logo
Serie A | Gameweek 36
May 9, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
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Fiorentina
2 - 0
Roma

Gonzalez (5' pen.), Bonaventura (11')
Amrabat (19'), Bonaventura (28'), Duncan (49')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Mancini (24')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fiorentina

Last Six:
Last Game: Fiorentina 2-0 Juventus
Saturday, May 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Roma

Last Six:
Last Game: Roma 1-0 Feyenoord
Wednesday, May 25 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

We said: Fiorentina 1-1 Roma

 While Fiorentina have recently stumbled, they are usually a tough nut to crack in Florence, and their visitors may have one eye on an upcoming European final. Roma's need to rotate could also dilute their chances of posting a vital away win, so they will have to settle for just a point against ambitious opponents. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 47.06%. A win for Roma had a probability of 29.28% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.35%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Roma win was 1-2 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result
FiorentinaDrawRoma
47.06% (1.919 1.92) 23.66% (-0.286 -0.29) 29.28% (-1.634 -1.63)
Both teams to score 59.82% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.18% (0.451 0.45)41.82% (-0.454 -0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.78% (0.453 0.45)64.22% (-0.455 -0.45)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.01% (0.955 0.95)17.99% (-0.958 -0.96)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.15% (1.614 1.61)48.85% (-1.617 -1.62)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.94% (-0.842 -0.84)27.06% (0.839 0.84)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.57% (-1.113 -1.11)62.43% (1.111 1.11)
Score Analysis
    Fiorentina 47.06%
    Roma 29.28%
    Draw 23.65%
FiorentinaDrawRoma
2-1 @ 9.36% (0.16 0.16)
1-0 @ 8.35% (0.086 0.09)
2-0 @ 7.16% (0.288 0.29)
3-1 @ 5.35% (0.25 0.25)
3-0 @ 4.1% (0.283 0.28)
3-2 @ 3.5% (0.084 0.08)
4-1 @ 2.3% (0.174 0.17)
4-0 @ 1.76% (0.171 0.17)
4-2 @ 1.5% (0.08 0.08)
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 47.06%
1-1 @ 10.91% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-2 @ 6.12% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-0 @ 4.87% (-0.1 -0.1)
3-3 @ 1.52%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.65%
1-2 @ 7.13% (-0.271 -0.27)
0-1 @ 6.36% (-0.287 -0.29)
0-2 @ 4.16% (-0.293 -0.29)
1-3 @ 3.11% (-0.196 -0.2)
2-3 @ 2.67% (-0.082 -0.08)
0-3 @ 1.81% (-0.174 -0.17)
1-4 @ 1.02% (-0.09 -0.09)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 29.28%

How you voted: Fiorentina vs Roma

Fiorentina
24.3%
Draw
27.6%
Roma
48.1%
210
Head to Head
Aug 22, 2021 7.45pm
Roma
3-1
Fiorentina
Mkhitaryan (26'), Veretout (64', 79')
Pellegrini (13'), Zaniolo (44')
Zaniolo (52')
Milenkovic (60')
Bonaventura (45+3'), Pulgar (53')
Dragowski (17')
Mar 3, 2021 7.45pm
Fiorentina
1-2
Roma
Spinazzola (60' og.)
Ribery (71')
Spinazzola (49'), Diawara (88')
Mancini (40'), Kumbulla (74')
Nov 1, 2020 5pm
Roma
2-0
Fiorentina
Spinazzola (12'), Pedro (70')
Dzeko (24'), Veretout (33'), Cristante (90+1')

Castrovilli (32'), Lirola (51')
Martinez (88')
Jul 26, 2020 6.30pm
Roma
2-1
Fiorentina
Veretout (45' pen., 87' pen.)
Mancini (90+6')
Milenkovic (54')
Pezzella (35'), Caceres (72'), Ghezzal (86'), Pezzella (88'), Milenkovic (90+6')
Dec 20, 2019 7.45pm
Fiorentina
1-4
Roma
Badelj (34')
Pezzella (21'), Caceres (45'), Castrovilli (64'), Vlahovic (89')
Dzeko (19'), Kolarov (21'), Pellegrini (73'), Zaniolo (88')
Zaniolo (38'), Kolarov (45'), Diawara (57')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter Milan28187363273661
2Napoli28186445232260
3Atalanta BCAtalanta28177463263758
4Juventus281313245252052
5Lazio28156750361451
6Bologna281311444341050
7Roma28137843301346
8Fiorentina28136943301345
9AC Milan28128842321044
10Udinese28117103538-340
11Torino2881193334-135
12Genoa28711102636-1032
13Como2878133444-1029
14CagliariCagliari2868142843-1526
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2882182858-3026
16Lecce2867152046-2625
17Parma2859143448-1424
18Empoli28410142345-2222
19VeneziaVenezia28310152342-1919
20Monza2828182348-2514
> Serie A Full Table


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