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Serie A | Gameweek 1
Aug 14, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Cremonese

Fiorentina
3 - 2
Cremonese

Bonaventura (16'), Jovic (34'), Mandragora (90+5')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Okereke (19'), Buonaiuto (68')
Chiriches (9'), Ghiglione (62'), Okereke (82')
Escalante (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Cremonese, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Fiorentina 3-2 Cremonese

Fiorentina have never drawn in their last 11 Serie A season openers and are set to continue that run with victory on Sunday. Both sides have invested in new attacking options, so an entertaining encounter surely awaits at the Franchi. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 72.9%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Cremonese had a probability of 10.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.91%) and 3-0 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.84%), while for a Cremonese win it was 0-1 (3.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-2 win for Fiorentina in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Fiorentina.

Result
FiorentinaDrawCremonese
72.9% (5.377 5.38) 16.58% (-2.191 -2.19) 10.52% (-3.189 -3.19)
Both teams to score 49.67% (-2.611 -2.61)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.66% (1.879 1.88)38.33% (-1.883 -1.88)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.38% (1.967 1.97)60.61% (-1.97 -1.97)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.85% (1.817 1.82)9.14% (-1.8201 -1.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.98% (4.183 4.18)31.01% (-4.187 -4.19)
Cremonese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.67% (-4.05 -4.05)45.33% (4.045 4.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.8% (-3.388 -3.39)81.19% (3.384 3.38)
Score Analysis
    Fiorentina 72.89%
    Cremonese 10.52%
    Draw 16.58%
FiorentinaDrawCremonese
2-0 @ 11.85% (0.8 0.8)
1-0 @ 9.91% (-0.087999999999999 -0.09)
3-0 @ 9.46% (1.307 1.31)
2-1 @ 9.38% (-0.402 -0.4)
3-1 @ 7.48% (0.272 0.27)
4-0 @ 5.66% (1.152 1.15)
4-1 @ 4.48% (0.49 0.49)
3-2 @ 2.96% (-0.23 -0.23)
5-0 @ 2.71% (0.715 0.72)
5-1 @ 2.14% (0.379 0.38)
4-2 @ 1.77% (0.008 0.01)
6-0 @ 1.08% (0.345 0.35)
Other @ 4.02%
Total : 72.89%
1-1 @ 7.84% (-1.008 -1.01)
0-0 @ 4.14% (-0.382 -0.38)
2-2 @ 3.71% (-0.616 -0.62)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 16.58%
0-1 @ 3.28% (-0.726 -0.73)
1-2 @ 3.1% (-0.813 -0.81)
0-2 @ 1.3% (-0.474 -0.47)
2-3 @ 0.98% (-0.298 -0.3)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 10.52%

How you voted: Fiorentina vs Cremonese

Fiorentina
90.6%
Draw
5.9%
Cremonese
3.5%
85
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Juventus633090912
2AC Milan6321147711
3Torino6321108211
4Inter Milan6321137611
5Udinese6312910-110
6Napoli531194510
7Empoli624052310
8Lazio63121210210
9Roma62317439
10Como6222911-28
11Atalanta BCAtalanta62131112-17
12Bologna614179-27
13Fiorentina61417707
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona62041011-16
15Parma512289-15
16Lecce6123311-85
17Genoa6123410-65
18VeneziaVenezia6114410-64
19Monza503246-23
20CagliariCagliari502318-72


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