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Europa Conference League header WWW

UEFA Conference League
Gent
Europa Conference League | Last 16 | 2nd Leg
Mar 17, 2022 at 8pm UK
GHELAMCO-arena
PAOK

Gent
1 - 2
PAOK

Depoitre (40')
Odjidja-Ofoe (32'), Owusu (71')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Angel Crespo (20'), Douglas (77')
Paschalakis (28'), Colak (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Gent and PAOK, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gent

Last Six:
Last Game: Gent 1-2 Charleroi
Saturday, May 21 at 7.45pm in Belgian Pro League

PAOK

Last Six:
Last Game: PAOK 2-0 Panathinaikos
Tuesday, May 17 at 6pm in Greek Superleague

We said: Gent 1-1 PAOK

 Like their first leg, we expect Thursday's encounter to be a closely-fought contest, but PAOK have proven to be a tough team to beat after losing once in their last 22 games in all competitions, and we think that the visitors will do enough to progress to the quarter finals. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gent win with a probability of 37.92%. A win for PAOK had a probability of 37.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gent win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.96%) and 2-0 (5.82%). The likeliest PAOK win was 1-2 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.

Result
GentDrawPAOK
37.92%24.72%37.35%
Both teams to score 58.78%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.65%44.35%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.27%66.72%
Gent Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.81%23.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.93%57.07%
PAOK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.51%23.48%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.49%57.51%
Score Analysis
    Gent 37.92%
    PAOK 37.35%
    Draw 24.72%
GentDrawPAOK
2-1 @ 8.43%
1-0 @ 7.96%
2-0 @ 5.82%
3-1 @ 4.11%
3-2 @ 2.98%
3-0 @ 2.83%
4-1 @ 1.5%
4-2 @ 1.09%
4-0 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 37.92%
1-1 @ 11.53%
2-2 @ 6.11%
0-0 @ 5.44%
3-3 @ 1.44%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.72%
1-2 @ 8.35%
0-1 @ 7.89%
0-2 @ 5.71%
1-3 @ 4.03%
2-3 @ 2.95%
0-3 @ 2.76%
1-4 @ 1.46%
2-4 @ 1.07%
0-4 @ 1%
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 37.35%

How you voted: Gent vs PAOK

Gent
59.0%
Draw
16.7%
PAOK
24.4%
78
Head to Head
Mar 10, 2022 5.45pm
PAOK
1-0
Gent
Kurtic (58')
Lucescu (34'), Zivkovic (45'), Vieirinha (61'), Kurtic (79')

Okumu (2'), Torunarigha (83'), Castro-Montes (87')
rhs 2.0
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