UEFA Conference League

Europa Conference League | Group Stage

Nov 3, 2022 at 3.30pm UK

Fatih Terim Stadium

Istanbul
3 - 1
Hearts

Ndayishimiye (4'), Gurler (33'), Ozcan (64')
Ndayishimiye (80'), Aleksic (80')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Atkinson (90')
Sibbick (24'), Smith (39'), Atkinson (71'), Cochrane (80'), Halliday (81')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Istanbul Basaksehir and Hearts, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Istanbul Basaksehir

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: Istanbul 3-1 Giresunspor
Monday, October 31 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig

Goals
for

Hearts

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: Ross County 1-2 Hearts
Sunday, October 30 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Istanbul Basaksehir 3-0 Hearts

Although Hearts have improved since being blown away on matchday one, few people will expect them to make a dent in Istanbul on Thursday night. We are not one of those people, leading us to predict a routine win for the home side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 54.95%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Hearts had a probability of 19.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.22%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.81%), while for a Hearts win it was 0-1 (7.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Istanbul Basaksehir would win this match.

Result
Istanbul Basaksehir	Draw	Hearts
54.95% ( 0.22)	25.35% ( -0.07)	19.7% ( -0.15)

Both teams to score 44.51% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.91% (

0.1)

57.09% (

-0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.03% (

0.08)

77.97% (

-0.08)

Istanbul Basaksehir Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.19% (

0.13)

20.81% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.52% (

0.21)

53.48% (

-0.21)

Hearts Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.2% (

-0.11)

43.79% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.04% (

-0.09)

79.95% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Istanbul Basaksehir 54.93%

Hearts 19.7%

Draw 25.35%

Istanbul Basaksehir	Draw	Hearts
1-0 @ 14.3% 2-0 @ 11.22% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.27% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.88% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 4.85% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 2.31% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.9% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.2% Total : 54.93%	1-1 @ 11.81% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 9.11% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 3.83% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.6% Total : 25.35%	0-1 @ 7.53% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 4.88% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 3.11% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.8% Total : 19.7%