Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 12

Oct 22, 2022 at 12.30pm UK

Tynecastle

Hearts
3 - 4
Celtic

Shankland (45+3' pen., 47', 65' pen.)
Sibbick (55'), Smith (90+5')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Forrest (14'), Giakoumakis (55'), Maeda (59'), Taylor (76')
Jenz (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Hearts and Celtic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hearts

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: Aberdeen 2-0 Hearts
Sunday, October 16 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

Celtic

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: Motherwell 0-4 Celtic
Wednesday, October 19 at 6.15pm in Scottish League Cup

Goals
for

In a game that will be full of drama, we expect both sides to create their fair share of chances as they seek an important result on Saturday. This time round, Celtic will come out on top and claim another three points to cement their lead at the top of the Scottish Premiership table. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 81.52%. A draw had a probability of 11.8% and a win for Hearts had a probability of 6.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.44%) and 1-2 (8.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.45%), while for a Hearts win it was 2-1 (2.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.

Result
Hearts	Draw	Celtic
6.65% ( -0.26)	11.84% ( 0.1)	81.52% ( 0.16)

Both teams to score 50.62% (

-2.31)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

71.87% (

-1.86)

28.13% (

1.86)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

51.1% (

-2.34)

48.9% (

2.35)

Hearts Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.39% (

-2.24)

46.61% (

2.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.81% (

-1.76)

82.19% (

1.77)

Celtic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

94.83% (

-0.32)

5.18% (

0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

79.5% (

-0.97)

20.5% (

0.97)

Score Analysis

Hearts 6.65%

Celtic 81.51%

Draw 11.84%

Hearts	Draw	Celtic
2-1 @ 2.08% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 1.84% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.72% Total : 6.65%	1-1 @ 5.45% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 3.08% ( -0.17) 0-0 @ 2.41% ( 0.26) Other @ 0.89% Total : 11.84%	0-2 @ 10.57% ( 0.72) 0-3 @ 10.44% ( 0.5) 1-2 @ 8.07% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 7.97% ( -0.11) 0-4 @ 7.73% ( 0.21) 0-1 @ 7.14% ( 0.63) 1-4 @ 5.9% ( -0.21) 0-5 @ 4.58% ( 0.03) 1-5 @ 3.49% ( -0.2) 2-3 @ 3.04% ( -0.24) 0-6 @ 2.26% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 2.25% ( -0.23) 1-6 @ 1.73% ( -0.14) 2-5 @ 1.33% ( -0.17) 0-7 @ 0.96% ( -0.04) Other @ 4.04% Total : 81.51%