Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 81.52%. A draw had a probability of 11.8% and a win for Hearts had a probability of 6.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.44%) and 1-2 (8.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.45%), while for a Hearts win it was 2-1 (2.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.
Result | ||
Hearts | Draw | Celtic |
6.65% ( -0.26) | 11.84% ( 0.1) | 81.52% ( 0.16) |
Both teams to score 50.62% ( -2.31) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
71.87% ( -1.86) | 28.13% ( 1.86) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
51.1% ( -2.34) | 48.9% ( 2.35) |
Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.39% ( -2.24) | 46.61% ( 2.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.81% ( -1.76) | 82.19% ( 1.77) |
Celtic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
94.83% ( -0.32) | 5.18% ( 0.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
79.5% ( -0.97) | 20.5% ( 0.97) |
Score Analysis |
Hearts | Draw | Celtic |
2-1 @ 2.08% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 1.84% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.72% Total : 6.65% | 1-1 @ 5.45% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 3.08% ( -0.17) 0-0 @ 2.41% ( 0.26) Other @ 0.89% Total : 11.84% | 0-2 @ 10.57% ( 0.72) 0-3 @ 10.44% ( 0.5) 1-2 @ 8.07% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 7.97% ( -0.11) 0-4 @ 7.73% ( 0.21) 0-1 @ 7.14% ( 0.63) 1-4 @ 5.9% ( -0.21) 0-5 @ 4.58% ( 0.03) 1-5 @ 3.49% ( -0.2) 2-3 @ 3.04% ( -0.24) 0-6 @ 2.26% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 2.25% ( -0.23) 1-6 @ 1.73% ( -0.14) 2-5 @ 1.33% ( -0.17) 0-7 @ 0.96% ( -0.04) Other @ 4.04% Total : 81.51% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 15 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 44 | 4 | 40 | 43 |
2 | Aberdeen | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 30 | 18 | 12 | 34 |
3 | RangersRangers | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 9 | 18 | 32 |
4 | Motherwell | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 25 |
5 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 24 |
6 | St Mirren | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 28 | -6 | 21 |
7 | Dundee | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 27 | 29 | -2 | 19 |
8 | Kilmarnock | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 34 | -16 | 17 |
9 | Hibernian | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 15 |
10 | Ross County | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 33 | -20 | 15 |
11 | St Johnstone | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 14 |
12 | Hearts | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 13 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |