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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 11
Oct 16, 2022 at 3pm UK
Pittodrie Stadium
Hearts logo

Aberdeen
2 - 0
Hearts

Lopes (74'), Besuijen (79')
Richardson (2'), MacKenzie (66'), Scales (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Snodgrass (37'), Kiomourtzoglou (44'), Grant (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Scottish Premiership clash between Aberdeen and Hearts, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dundee Utd 4-0 Aberdeen
Saturday, October 8 at 6pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Fiorentina 5-1 Hearts
Thursday, October 13 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League

We said: Aberdeen 2-1 Hearts

In a game with plenty of significance in the upper reaches of the Scottish Premiership, we expect an entertaining encounter between two teams that will go all out for a victory. In light of this, Aberdeen will do just enough to edge their opponents and secure an important three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 59.57%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Hearts had a probability of 18.74%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.05%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.24%), while for a Hearts win it was 0-1 (5.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aberdeen would win this match.

Result
AberdeenDrawHearts
59.57% (-0.050000000000004 -0.05) 21.69% (0.016000000000002 0.02) 18.74% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Both teams to score 53.81% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.12% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)43.88% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.73% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)66.27% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Aberdeen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.65% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)14.35% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.79% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)42.21% (0.047000000000004 0.05)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.83% (0.029000000000003 0.03)37.18% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.04% (0.029 0.03)73.96% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Aberdeen 59.56%
    Hearts 18.74%
    Draw 21.69%
AberdeenDrawHearts
1-0 @ 10.35%
2-0 @ 10.05% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.95% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 6.51% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.44% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 3.19% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 3.16% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.13% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.55% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 1.23% (-0.004 -0)
5-1 @ 1.21% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 59.56%
1-1 @ 10.24%
0-0 @ 5.34% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-2 @ 4.92% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.05% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 21.69%
0-1 @ 5.28% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.07% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.61% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.67% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.62% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 18.74%

How you voted: Aberdeen vs Hearts

Aberdeen
78.8%
Draw
9.1%
Hearts
12.1%
33
Head to Head
Mar 2, 2022 7.45pm
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Aberdeen
2-1
Hearts
Watkins (49'), Ferguson (69')
McCrorie (59'), Campbell (82')
Souttar (45+2' pen.)
Woodburn (61'), Halkett (86')
Halliday (89')
Aug 22, 2021 3pm
Hearts
1-1
Aberdeen
Boyce (56' pen.)
Halliday (50'), Haring (76'), Walker (90+5')
Ojo (71')
Hayes (16'), Ferguson (80')
Apr 3, 2020 7.45pm
Dec 29, 2019 2pm
Hearts
1-1
Aberdeen
Meshino (49')
Meshino (30'), Dikamona (89')
Clare (68')
McGinn (68')
Ferguson (31'), Ojo (55'), Taylor (65')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Monday, July 1
 
5pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, July 2
 
5pm
 
8pm
Friday, July 5
 
5pm
Saturday, July 6
Tuesday, July 9
Wednesday, July 10
Sunday, July 14
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q England flag England31205
Q Denmark Denmark30303
Q Slovenia Slovenia30303
4 Serbia Serbia30212

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Austria Austria32016
Q France France31205
Q Netherlands Netherlands31114
4 Poland Poland30121

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Romania Romania31114
Q Belgium Belgium31114
Q Slovakia Slovakia31114
4 Ukraine Ukraine31114

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal32016
Q Turkey Turkey32016
Q Georgia Georgia31114
4 Czech Republic Czech Republic30121


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