Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 10

Oct 9, 2022 at 3pm UK

Rugby Park

Kilmarnock
2 - 2
Hearts

Stokes (47'), Lafferty (59')
Armstrong (57'), Doidge (82')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Humphrys (62'), Atkinson (90+4')
Kingsley (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Scottish Premiership clash between Kilmarnock and Hearts, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kilmarnock

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: Kilmarnock 2-1 St Johnstone
Wednesday, October 5 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

Hearts

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: Hearts 0-3 Fiorentina
Thursday, October 6 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Kilmarnock 1-1 Hearts

On the back of their defeat to Fiorentina, it remains to be seen how Hearts will react to an away game three days later. Kilmarnock are on a high after their return to winning ways in their last outing, and the home side may do enough to earn a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 37.06%. A win for Hearts had a probability of 35.57% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.02%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Hearts win was 0-1 (10.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Kilmarnock	Draw	Hearts
37.06% ( -0.02)	27.37% ( 0)	35.57% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 49.73% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.15% (

-0.01)

55.85% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.03% (

-0.01)

76.97% (

0.01)

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.97% (

-0.02)

29.03% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.07% (

-0.02)

64.93% (

0.03)

Hearts Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.06% (

0.01)

29.94% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.96% (

0.01)

66.04% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Kilmarnock 37.05%

Hearts 35.57%

Draw 27.37%

Kilmarnock	Draw	Hearts
1-0 @ 10.74% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.02% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.65% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.31% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.74% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.99% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.02% ( -0) Other @ 2.58% Total : 37.05%	1-1 @ 12.96% 0-0 @ 8.69% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.84% ( -0) Other @ 0.88% Total : 27.37%	0-1 @ 10.48% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.82% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.32% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.14% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.54% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.94% 1-4 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 2.38% Total : 35.57%