MX23RW : Sunday, November 24 11:25:00| >> :600:633442:633442:
Istanbul Basaksehir
Conference League | Group Stage
Oct 13, 2022 at 5.45pm UK
Fatih Terim Stadium

Istanbul
3 - 0
RFS

Turuc (11'), Okaka (45', 72')
Okaka (36')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Jatta (25')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Istanbul Basaksehir and Rigas Futbola Skola, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: RFS 0-0 Istanbul
Thursday, October 6 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

We said: Istanbul Basaksehir 2-0 Rigas Futbola Skola

Basaksehir are the only side in the UECL yet to concede a goal, and with the likelihood of RFS playing defensively here, that may remain intact. RFS have lost only two of their last nine UECL games and successfully kept the Turkish side out last week, but Basaksehir should have enough quality to get the job done on home turf. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 45.39%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Rigas Futbola Skola had a probability of 25.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.4%) and 2-1 (8.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.02%), while for a Rigas Futbola Skola win it was 0-1 (10.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Istanbul Basaksehir would win this match.

Result
Istanbul BasaksehirDrawRigas Futbola Skola
45.39% (-0.058 -0.06) 28.86% (0.016000000000002 0.02) 25.75% (0.044 0.04)
Both teams to score 41.91% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.17% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)63.84% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.93% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)83.07% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Istanbul Basaksehir Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.78% (-0.041999999999987 -0.04)28.22% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.08% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)63.92% (0.058 0.06)
Rigas Futbola Skola Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.38% (0.028000000000006 0.03)41.62% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.9% (0.023 0.02)78.1% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Istanbul Basaksehir 45.38%
    Rigas Futbola Skola 25.74%
    Draw 28.85%
Istanbul BasaksehirDrawRigas Futbola Skola
1-0 @ 14.85% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.4% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.24% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.96% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.48% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.52% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.25% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 1.1% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 45.38%
1-1 @ 13.02%
0-0 @ 11.74% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.61% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 28.85%
0-1 @ 10.29% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 5.71% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.51% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.67% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 1.32% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 1.19%
Total : 25.74%

How you voted: Istanbul vs RFS

Istanbul Basaksehir
88.9%
Draw
8.3%
Rigas Futbola Skola
2.8%
36
Head to Head
Oct 6, 2022 8pm
rhs 2.0
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