Europa Conference League | Group Stage
Oct 13, 2022 at 5.45pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Fiorentina5 - 1Hearts
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Fiorentina 0-4 Lazio
Monday, October 10 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Monday, October 10 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Kilmarnock 2-2 Hearts
Sunday, October 9 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Sunday, October 9 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
We said: Fiorentina 3-0 Hearts
Both sides will be keen to strengthen their bid for qualification to the knockout rounds of the Europa Conference League as the group stages draw to a close. In light of this, we expect Fiorentina to have too much for Hearts which will result in a comfortable victory for the home team. Their attacking players will have too much for a makeshift Hearts defence, resulting in the margin of victory being the same as the 3-0 victory in Edinburgh last week. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 58.45%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Hearts had a probability of 15.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.15%) and 2-1 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.27%), while for a Hearts win it was 0-1 (7.37%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fiorentina | Draw | Hearts |
58.45% ( -0.09) | 25.69% ( 0.06) | 15.86% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 37.65% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
