Kauno Zalgiris

1 - 2

Lech Poznan

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 50.15%. A win for Kauno Zalgiris had a probability of 24.94% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.5%) and 0-2 (9.02%). The likeliest Kauno Zalgiris win was 1-0 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lech Poznan would win this match.