Europa Conference League | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg
Apr 20, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Fiorentina2 - 3Lech Poznan
FT(HT: 0-1)
Sousa (9'), Velde (65' pen.), Sobiech (69')
Sobiech (17'), Czerwinski (23'), Kvekveskiri (83'), Skoras (88')
Sobiech (17'), Czerwinski (23'), Kvekveskiri (83'), Skoras (88')
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Fiorentina 1-1 Atalanta
Monday, April 17 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Monday, April 17 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lech Poznan 1-4 Fiorentina
Thursday, April 13 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, April 13 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
We said: Fiorentina 3-1 Lech Poznan (Fiorentina to win 7-2 on aggregate)
Having played as recently as Monday, we do not necessarily expect Fiorentina to be at their best in the second leg. Nevertheless, their superior quality and strength in depth should see them through this tie in comfortable fashion. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 62.19%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Lech Poznan had a probability of 16.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.5%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.89%), while for a Lech Poznan win it was 0-1 (4.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fiorentina | Draw | Lech Poznan |
62.19% ( 0.2) | 20.9% ( -0.04) | 16.91% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 52.83% ( -0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
