UEFA Conference League

Europa Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg

Aug 3, 2023 at 7.30pm UK

Ljudski vrt

Maribor
4 - 3
Differdange

Kolar (5'), Repas (62'), Brnic (82'), Ilicic (120+1' pen.)
Uskokovic (42'), Skuka (90+4'), Pihler (107'), Repas (108'), Bozic (111'), Skuka (115')

FT
(aet)

Castro (28' pen.), Trani (42', 46')
Pruzzo (31'), D'Anzico (90'), Bei (90+2'), Manuel Lagoela Nibra (94'), Pami (113'), Rauch (120+1'), Rauch (120+1'), Alexandre Sousa Lamas (120+2')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Europa Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Maribor and FC Differdange 03.

Form, Standings, Stats

Maribor

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: Maribor 1-0 Aluminij
Sunday, July 30 at 4.30pm in Slovenian PrvaLiga

Goals
for

FC Differdange 03

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: Differdange 1-1 Maribor
Thursday, July 27 at 6.30pm in Europa Conference League

	Team	Goals scored	Avg per game	Top scorer
1	Celje	7	3.50	Bobicanec
2	Ljubljana	6	3.00	Seslar
3	Maribor	5	2.50	Jakupovic
4	Domzale	4	2.00	Cerne
5	Koper	3	1.50	Mulahusejnovic
6	Bravo	3	1.50	Poplatnik
7	Aluminij	2	1.00	Jovanovic
8	NS Mura	2	1.00	Saitoski
9	Radomlje	0	0.00
10	Rogaska	0	0.00

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maribor win with a probability of 61.85%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for FC Differdange 03 had a probability of 17.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Maribor win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.55%) and 1-0 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.42%), while for a FC Differdange 03 win it was 1-2 (4.9%).

Result
Maribor	Draw	FC Differdange 03
61.85% ( -0.2)	20.32% ( 0.03)	17.82% ( 0.18)

Both teams to score 56.76% (

0.29)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.86% (

0.2)

39.14% (

-0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.53% (

0.21)

61.47% (

-0.21)

Maribor Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.83% (

0.01)

12.17% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.2% (

0.01)

37.8% (

-0.01)

FC Differdange 03 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.62% (

0.33)

35.38% (

-0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.86% (

0.34)

72.14% (

-0.33)

Score Analysis

Maribor 61.85%

FC Differdange 03 17.82%

Draw 20.32%

Maribor	Draw	FC Differdange 03
2-1 @ 9.92% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.55% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 9.07% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 6.97% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.71% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 3.67% 3-2 @ 3.62% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 3.53% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.91% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.55% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.49% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.88% Total : 61.85%	1-1 @ 9.42% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.16% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 4.31% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.19% Total : 20.32%	1-2 @ 4.9% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 4.47% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.32% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.65% Total : 17.82%