Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 11, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadion SRC Topolica
Mornar2 - 1Dinamo Tbilisi
Durisic (20'), Vusurovic (23')
Dubljevic (38'), Moistsrapishvili (89')
Seratlic (84')
Dubljevic (38'), Moistsrapishvili (89')
Seratlic (84')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Ugrekhelidze (90+4')
Ugrekhelidze (44'), Kalandadze (68'), Moistsrapishvili (87'), Khvadagiani (87')
Ugrekhelidze (44'), Kalandadze (68'), Moistsrapishvili (87'), Khvadagiani (87')
Coverage of the Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between Mornar and Dinamo Tbilisi.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Dinamo Tbilisi 0-1 Hamrun Spartans
Thursday, August 3 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, August 3 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Tbilisi win with a probability of 49.55%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Mornar had a probability of 23.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Tbilisi win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.87%) and 1-2 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.46%), while for a Mornar win it was 1-0 (8.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Mornar | Draw | Dinamo Tbilisi |
23.79% ( 0.01) | 26.66% ( 0) | 49.55% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 45.89% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
