MX23RW : Friday, January 17 20:33:18| >> :600:1120811:1120811:
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 3, 2023 at 8.15pm UK
Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques
Celje

Guimaraes
0 - 1
Celje


Silva (35'), Silva (41'), Tounkara (43'), Fernandes (90+2')
FT
(aet)
Bajde (65')
Bobicanec (18'), Zec (20'), Vuklisevic (35'), Zabukovnik (45+3'), Edmilson (96'), Bizjak (110'), Rozman (119')
Celje win 4-2 on penalties
Coverage of the Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Vitoria de Guimaraes and Celje.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Celje 3-4 Guimaraes
Thursday, July 27 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Celje 5-0 NS Mura
Sunday, July 30 at 7.15pm in Slovenian PrvaLiga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 46.95%. A win for Celje had a probability of 27.05% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (8.65%). The likeliest Celje win was 0-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%).

Result
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawCelje
46.95% (0.012999999999998 0.01) 26% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 27.05% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 50.56% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.78% (0.010000000000005 0.01)53.22% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.21% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)74.78% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.34% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)22.66% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.71% (0.015000000000001 0.02)56.29% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Celje Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.37% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)34.62%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.65% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)71.35% (0.00099999999999056 0)
Score Analysis
    Vitoria de Guimaraes 46.95%
    Celje 27.05%
    Draw 26%
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawCelje
1-0 @ 11.64%
2-1 @ 9.17% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-0 @ 8.65% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-1 @ 4.54% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 4.28% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.41% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.69% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.59% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 46.95%
1-1 @ 12.35%
0-0 @ 7.84% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 4.86%
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 26%
0-1 @ 8.32% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-2 @ 6.55% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 4.41% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.32% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 1.72%
0-3 @ 1.56% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 27.05%

Head to Head
Jul 27, 2023 7pm
Second Qualifying Round 1st Leg
Celje
3-4
Guimaraes
Bobicanec (1'), Matko (59'), Edmilson (90+6')
Bobicanec (45'), Zec (69')
Silva (25'), Silva (35'), Amaro (70'), Nogueira (80')
Handel (33'), Silva (67')
rhs 2.0
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