Primeira Liga | Gameweek 33

May 21, 2023 at 3.30pm UK

Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques

Guimaraes
1 - 0
Gil Vicente

Silva (90+3')
Luz (46'), Silva (50'), Silva (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Aouacheria (45+4'), Carvalho (90+12')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Vitoria de Guimaraes and Gil Vicente, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions

Last Game: Rio Ave 0-1 Guimaraes
Sunday, May 14 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Gil Vicente

All competitions

Last Game: Gil Vicente 3-1 Boavista
Friday, May 12 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

We said: Vitoria de Guimaraes 2-1 Gil Vicente

With their eyes fixed on securing a place in Europe, Vitoria de Guimaraes must avoid any slip-ups in their final two games and we are backing them to edge out a Gil Vicente side who have not had it easy on the road of late. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 44.96%. A win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 29.74% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Gil Vicente win was 0-1 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Vitoria de Guimaraes in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Vitoria de Guimaraes.

Result
Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Gil Vicente
44.96% ( 0.15)	25.29% ( 0.01)	29.74% ( -0.16)

Both teams to score 54.55% (

-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.14% (

-0.13)

48.86% (

0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.04% (

-0.12)

70.96% (

0.12)

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.27% (

0.01)

21.72% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.11% (

0.02)

54.89% (

-0.02)

Gil Vicente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.69% (

-0.18)

30.31% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.51% (

-0.22)

66.49% (

0.22)

Score Analysis

Vitoria de Guimaraes 44.96%

Gil Vicente 29.74%

Draw 25.29%

Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Gil Vicente
1-0 @ 10.05% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.16% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.67% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 4.66% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.91% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.78% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.49% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( -0) Other @ 2.4% Total : 44.96%	1-1 @ 12% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.58% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.47% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.29%	0-1 @ 7.86% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.16% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 4.69% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.85% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.13% Total : 29.74%