Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 53.93%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Zrinjski Mostar had a probability of 21.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.12%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.61%), while for a Zrinjski Mostar win it was 0-1 (7.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitoria de Guimaraes would win this match.