Europa Conference League | Group Stage
Dec 14, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Stadion Bijeli Brijeg
Zrinjski Mostar1 - 1Aston Villa
FT(HT: 0-0)
The Match
Match Report
Aston Villa will benefit from playing two fewer games in the New Year after securing a spot in the Round of 16 in the Conference League with a 1-1 draw against Zrijnski.
Team News
Aston Villa boss Unai Emery rings the changes for Thursday's Europa Conference League fixture against Zrinjski Mostar.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Zrinjski Mostar and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: AZ 1-0 Zrinjski Mostar
Thursday, November 30 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, November 30 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Aston Villa 1-0 Arsenal
Saturday, December 9 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Saturday, December 9 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zrinjski Mostar win with a probability of 46.27%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 31.44% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zrinjski Mostar win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.27%) and 2-0 (5.89%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 1-2 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Zrinjski Mostar | Draw | Aston Villa |
46.27% ( -0.04) | 22.29% ( 0) | 31.44% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 66.21% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
