Europa League | Group Stage
Nov 30, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Gewiss Stadium
Atalanta1 - 1Sporting Lisbon
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Atalanta 1-2 Napoli
Saturday, November 25 at 5pm in Serie A
Saturday, November 25 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 8-0 Dumiense
Sunday, November 26 at 6pm in Taca de Portugal
Sunday, November 26 at 6pm in Taca de Portugal
We said: Atalanta BC 2-2 Sporting Lisbon
A point will be enough for Sporting to qualify and for Atalanta to win the group, so a stalemate is likely for two sides who have little to separate themselves. While Sporting will still hold slim hopes of leapfrogging Atalanta at the top of the group, losing at home to La Dea on matchday two suggests that it will be a difficult ask to beat them to turn the head-to-head in their favour here. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 39.55%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 36.03% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.82%) and 0-2 (5.96%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 2-1 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Atalanta BC | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
36.03% ( 0.23) | 24.42% ( -0.01) | 39.55% ( -0.21) |
| Both teams to score 59.79% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
