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Europa League
Atalanta logo
Europa League | Group Stage
Sep 21, 2023 at 8pm UK
Gewiss Stadium
Rakow

Atalanta
2 - 0
Rakow

De Ketelaere (49'), Ederson (66')
de Roon (32')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Atalanta BC and Rakow Czestochowa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atalanta BC

All competitions
Last Game: Fiorentina 3-2 Atalanta
Sunday, September 17 at 5pm in Serie A

Rakow Czestochowa

All competitions
Last Game: Rakow 1-0 LKS Lodz
Saturday, September 16 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

We said: Atalanta BC 4-2 Rakow Czestochowa

 Gasperini's ultra-attacking style of play very rarely changes, and it does not need to, given the success they have had, but while they are big favourites to win here, their opponents may spring one or two surprises on them. Rakow may have performed heroically in Champions League qualifying and have started well domestically, but they are likely to struggle to contain Atalanta's fearsome attack. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 60.16%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Rakow Czestochowa had a probability of 18.26%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.25%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.21%), while for a Rakow Czestochowa win it was 0-1 (5.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawRakow Czestochowa
60.16% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 21.59% (0.00099999999999767 0) 18.26% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 53.24% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.81% (0.0039999999999978 0)44.19% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.43% (0.0030000000000001 0)66.57% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.73%14.27%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.95% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)42.05% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Rakow Czestochowa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.1% (0.0089999999999932 0.01)37.9% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.33% (0.009999999999998 0.01)74.67% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 60.15%
    Rakow Czestochowa 18.26%
    Draw 21.58%
Atalanta BCDrawRakow Czestochowa
1-0 @ 10.52% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 10.25%
2-1 @ 9.95%
3-0 @ 6.65% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 6.46%
4-0 @ 3.24% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 3.14%
3-2 @ 3.13% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-2 @ 1.53% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 1.26% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 1.22%
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 60.15%
1-1 @ 10.21%
0-0 @ 5.41% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 4.83% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 21.58%
0-1 @ 5.25%
1-2 @ 4.96% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 2.55% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 1.6% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.56%
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 18.26%

How you voted: Atalanta vs Rakow

Atalanta BC
76.7%
Draw
15.1%
Rakow Czestochowa
8.1%
86
rhs 2.0
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