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Europa League
Europa League | League Stage
Sep 25, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Aspmyra Stadion
Porto

Bodo/Glimt
3 - 2
Porto

Hogh (15'), Petter Hauge (40', 62')
Dybvik Maatta (45+3'), Berg (81')
Dybvik Maatta (51')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Omorodion (8'), Gul (90')
Pedro (29'), Gonzalez (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Europa League clash between Bodo/Glimt and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bodo/Glimt

All competitions
Last Game: Brann 4-1 Bodo/Glimt
Sunday, September 22 at 1.30pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

Porto

All competitions
Last Game: Guimaraes 0-3 Porto
Saturday, September 21 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Bodo/Glimt 2-2 Porto

 Porto have won six of their previous eight games against Norwegian sides, but this is an altogether different challenge given the climate and the pitch, and it will take some adjusting to. The visitors have not kept a clean sheet in 15 Europa League games, and Bodo/Glimt have proven repeatedly they are capable of troubling some elite clubs in Europe, and they may cause a few more issues here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bodo/Glimt win with a probability of 48.08%. A win for Porto had a probability of 28.18% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bodo/Glimt win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.75%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Porto win was 1-2 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bodo/Glimt would win this match.

Result
Bodo/GlimtDrawPorto
48.08% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01) 23.74% (0.004999999999999 0) 28.18% (0.012 0.01)
Both teams to score 58.75% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.12% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)42.88% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.71% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)65.29% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Bodo/Glimt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82% (-0.0099999999999909 -0.01)18% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.13% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)48.87% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.64%28.36% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.9% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)64.1% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Bodo/Glimt 48.08%
    Porto 28.18%
    Draw 23.74%
Bodo/GlimtDrawPorto
2-1 @ 9.46% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 8.75% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 7.51%
3-1 @ 5.41% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 4.29% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-2 @ 3.41% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 2.32% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 1.84% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.46% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 48.08%
1-1 @ 11.03% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.96% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 5.11% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-3 @ 1.43% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.74%
1-2 @ 6.95% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-1 @ 6.43% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 4.05% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-3 @ 2.92%
2-3 @ 2.5%
0-3 @ 1.7% (0.0010000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 28.18%

How you voted: Bodo/Glimt vs Porto

Bodo/Glimt
17.4%
Draw
21.9%
Porto
60.7%
270
rhs 2.0
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