Europa League

Europa League | Group Stage

Oct 27, 2022 at 8pm UK

Mage-Solar-Stadion

Freiburg
1 - 1
Olympiacos

Kubler (90+3')
Ginter (90+7')

FT(HT: 0-1)

El-Arabi (17')
M'Vila (28'), Masouras (80'), El-Arabi (82'), Paschalakis (90+1'), Kunde (90+4'), Ba (90+5'), Retsos (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Freiburg and Olympiacos, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Freiburg

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Freiburg 2-0 Werder Bremen
Saturday, October 22 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Olympiacos

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Panetolikos 0-2 Olympiakos
Saturday, October 22 at 5.30pm in Greek Superleague

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Freiburg 2-0 Olympiacos

We expect Freiburg to have too much quality for Olympiacos, who are hamstrung by several absences due to injury and squad registration rules. The hosts are aiming to maintain their 100% record in the Europa League and can seal top spot in Group G with a victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 40.29%. A win for Olympiacos had a probability of 33.07% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Olympiacos win was 0-1 (9.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.

Result
Freiburg	Draw	Olympiacos
40.29% ( -0.11)	26.64% ( 0.04)	33.07% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 51.63% (

-0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.73% (

-0.16)

53.26% (

0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.18% (

-0.14)

74.82% (

0.13)

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.03% (

-0.14)

25.97% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.02% (

-0.18)

60.98% (

0.18)

Olympiacos Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.74% (

-0.04)

30.26% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.57% (

-0.05)

66.43% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Freiburg 40.29%

Olympiacos 33.07%

Draw 26.63%

Freiburg	Draw	Olympiacos
1-0 @ 10.59% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.54% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.14% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.84% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.21% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.29% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.29% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.08% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.31% Total : 40.29%	1-1 @ 12.66% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.86% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.1% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.63%	0-1 @ 9.39% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 7.57% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.61% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.02% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 0.9% ( -0) Other @ 2.3% Total : 33.07%