Europa League | Group Stage
Oct 6, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stadio Georgios Karaiskáki
We said: Olympiacos 1-3 Qarabag FK
Olympiacos might be the team with more European experience on paper, but when it comes to the most recent results it is the visitors that have shown more confidence and quality.
Qarabag have great attacking skills which have been showcased across recent performances, and that should lead to them causing plenty of problems throughout this match.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 65.68% . A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Qarabag FK had a probability of 13.2% .
The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.89% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.23%) and 2-1 (9.44%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.91%) , while for a Qarabag FK win it was 0-1 (5.2%) . The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Qarabag FK would win this match.
Result Olympiacos Draw Qarabag FK 65.68% ( 0.01) 21.11% ( -0.03) 13.2% ( 0.02)
Both teams to score 43.4% ( 0.13)
48.62% ( 0.14) 51.37% ( -0.14)
26.8% ( 0.13) 73.19% ( -0.13)
85.13% ( 0.05) 14.87% ( -0.05)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 56.79% ( 0.09) 43.21% ( -0.1)
50.98% ( 0.12) 49.02% ( -0.12)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 16.03% ( 0.08) 83.97% ( -0.08)
Olympiacos 65.67%
Qarabag FK 13.2%
Draw 21.11%
Olympiacos Draw Qarabag FK 1-0 @ 13.89% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 13.23% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.44% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 8.41% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 4.01% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.86% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.14% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.53% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.09% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.08% Total : 65.67% 1-1 @ 9.91% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.29% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 3.37% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.55% Total : 21.11% 0-1 @ 5.2% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 3.53% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 1.85% ( 0) Other @ 2.62% Total : 13.2%
How you voted: Olympiacos vs Qarabag FK
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