Petrocub1 - 2Ludogorets
Form, Standings, Stats
We said: Petrocub Hincesti 1-2 Ludogorets Razgrad (Ludogorets Razgrad win 6-1 on aggregate)
Needing to win by at least four goals in 90 minutes to keep the tie alive, Petrocub will have to go all out from the start in Moldova on Thursday night. As a result, there should be spaces for Ludogorets to exploit in the Hincesti Lions' defence, meaning that we can envisage the Eagles extending their aggregate advantage even further. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ludogorets Razgrad win with a probability of 65.75%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Petrocub Hincesti had a probability of 14.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ludogorets Razgrad win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.85%) and 1-2 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.39%), while for a Petrocub Hincesti win it was 1-0 (4.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Ludogorets Razgrad in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Ludogorets Razgrad.
Result | ||
Petrocub Hincesti | Draw | Ludogorets Razgrad |
14.46% ( -11.12) | 19.79% ( -5.4) | 65.75% ( 16.53) |
Both teams to score 50.77% ( -1.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.77% ( 7.81) | 43.23% ( -7.8) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.38% ( 7.27) | 65.63% ( -7.26) |
Petrocub Hincesti Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.9% ( -7.44) | 42.1% ( 7.45) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.48% ( -7.14) | 78.52% ( 7.15) |
Ludogorets Razgrad Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.69% ( 8.44) | 12.31% ( -8.44) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.9% ( 15.28) | 38.1% ( -15.27) |
Score Analysis |
Petrocub Hincesti | Draw | Ludogorets Razgrad |
1-0 @ 4.48% ( -3.14) 2-1 @ 4.06% ( -2.29) 2-0 @ 1.94% ( -2.1) 3-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.54) 3-1 @ 1.17% ( -1.07) Other @ 1.57% Total : 14.46% | 1-1 @ 9.39% ( -2.59) 0-0 @ 5.18% ( -2.01) 2-2 @ 4.26% ( -0.74) Other @ 0.96% Total : 19.79% | 0-2 @ 11.37% ( 2.48) 0-1 @ 10.85% ( -0.45) 1-2 @ 9.84% ( 0.41) 0-3 @ 7.94% ( 3.28) 1-3 @ 6.87% ( 1.93) 0-4 @ 4.16% ( 2.33) 1-4 @ 3.6% ( 1.66) 2-3 @ 2.97% ( 0.35) 0-5 @ 1.74% ( 1.17) 2-4 @ 1.56% ( 0.53) 1-5 @ 1.51% ( 0.9) Other @ 3.35% Total : 65.75% |
How you voted: Petrocub vs Ludogorets
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