Europa League

Europa League | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg

Apr 20, 2023 at 8pm UK

Estádio José Alvalade

Sporting Lisbon
1 - 1
Juventus

(Juventus win 2-1 on aggregate)

Edwards (20' pen.)
Ugarte (24'), Edwards (90+3')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Rabiot (9')
Gatti (83'), Pogba (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Sporting Lisbon and Juventus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 1-1 Arouca
Sunday, April 16 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Juventus

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Sassuolo 1-0 Juventus
Sunday, April 16 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Sporting Lisbon 1-1 Juventus (Juventus win 2-1 on aggregate)

With the accumulated know-how of Allegri and his expensively-assembled cast of underachievers, Juventus can frustrate a Sporting side which has not replicated last term's title-winning form and are a little more vulnerable these days. As a draw would take them through to the final four, Juve will happily play the part of spoilers and focus their efforts on striking on the break - or via a set-piece situation. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 53.82%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Juventus had a probability of 21.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.05%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%), while for a Juventus win it was 0-1 (7%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Juventus
53.82% ( 0.66)	24.42% ( 0.2)	21.74% ( -0.86)

Both teams to score 49.88% (

-1.67)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.55% (

-1.67)

51.44% (

1.68)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.74% (

-1.48)

73.25% (

1.48)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.95% (

-0.38)

19.04% (

0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.37% (

-0.64)

50.63% (

0.64)

Juventus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.61% (

-1.77)

38.38% (

1.77)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.86% (

-1.74)

75.13% (

1.74)

Score Analysis

Sporting Lisbon 53.82%

Juventus 21.75%

Draw 24.42%

Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Juventus
1-0 @ 12.12% ( 0.66) 2-0 @ 10.05% ( 0.42) 2-1 @ 9.63% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 5.56% ( 0.17) 3-1 @ 5.32% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.55% ( -0.17) 4-0 @ 2.3% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.21% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.09) Other @ 3.03% Total : 53.82%	1-1 @ 11.6% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 7.31% ( 0.48) 2-2 @ 4.61% ( -0.25) Other @ 0.9% Total : 24.42%	0-1 @ 7% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 5.56% ( -0.23) 0-2 @ 3.35% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.17) 2-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.16) 0-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.09) Other @ 1.52% Total : 21.75%