MX23RW : Sunday, February 16 10:56:31| >> :600:240512:240512:
Midtjylland
Europa League | Knockout Round Playoffs | 2nd Leg
Feb 23, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
MCH Arena
Sporting Lisbon

Midtjylland
0 - 4
Sporting Lisbon


Paulinho (36'), Ashour (74'), Gigovic (90')
Paulinho (38')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Coates (21'), Goncalves (50', 77'), Gartenmann (85' og.)
Esgaio (33'), Ugarte (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between FC Midtjylland and Sporting Lisbon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Viborg 0-4 Midtjylland
Monday, February 20 at 6pm in Danish Superliga

We said: FC Midtjylland 1-2 Sporting Lisbon

Having failed to come out on top at home, Sporting Lisbon are in for a tough 90 minutes at the MCH Arena, where Midtjylland have shown resilience in recent weeks. While the Danish outfit will look to build on last week's result, Amorim's side boast the firepower needed to get the job done and we are backing them to get this one over the line. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 51.85%. A win for FC Midtjylland had a probability of 24.19% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.69%) and 0-2 (8.91%). The likeliest FC Midtjylland win was 1-0 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result
FC MidtjyllandDrawSporting Lisbon
24.19% (0.221 0.22) 23.96% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 51.85% (-0.204 -0.2)
Both teams to score 54.26% (0.298 0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.91% (0.281 0.28)47.08% (-0.283 -0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.67% (0.262 0.26)69.32% (-0.264 -0.26)
FC Midtjylland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.29% (0.343 0.34)33.7% (-0.345 -0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.64% (0.372 0.37)70.36% (-0.375 -0.38)
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.85% (0.027000000000001 0.03)18.15% (-0.029 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.88% (0.045999999999999 0.05)49.12% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    FC Midtjylland 24.19%
    Sporting Lisbon 51.84%
    Draw 23.96%
FC MidtjyllandDrawSporting Lisbon
1-0 @ 6.65% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-1 @ 6.17% (0.049 0.05)
2-0 @ 3.62% (0.025 0.02)
3-1 @ 2.24% (0.039 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.91% (0.035 0.03)
3-0 @ 1.31% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 24.19%
1-1 @ 11.35% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.12% (-0.073 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.27% (0.047 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.09% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 23.96%
0-1 @ 10.43% (-0.12 -0.12)
1-2 @ 9.69% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.91% (-0.089 -0.09)
1-3 @ 5.51% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 5.07% (-0.046 -0.05)
2-3 @ 3% (0.03 0.03)
1-4 @ 2.35% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 2.16% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.28% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 51.84%

How you voted: Midtjylland vs Sporting Lisbon

FC Midtjylland
19.6%
Draw
12.6%
Sporting Lisbon
67.8%
230
Head to Head
Feb 16, 2023 8pm
Knockout Round Playoffs
Sporting Lisbon
1-1
Midtjylland
Coates (90+4')
Coates (88'), Tanlongo (90+3')
Ashour (77')
Martinez (63'), Isaksen (83'), Gigovic (86')
rhs 2.0
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