Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 60%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 16.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.2%) and 1-2 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 1-0 (6.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
Result | ||
Casa Pia | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
16.53% (![]() | 23.47% (![]() | 60% (![]() |
Both teams to score 44.3% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.56% (![]() | 54.44% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.19% (![]() | 75.8% (![]() |
Casa Pia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.92% (![]() | 46.07% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.22% (![]() | 81.78% (![]() |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.14% (![]() | 17.85% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.38% (![]() | 48.62% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Casa Pia | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
1-0 @ 6.38% (![]() 2-1 @ 4.26% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 2.47% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 1.1% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 0.95% ( ![]() Other @ 1.38% Total : 16.53% | 1-1 @ 10.98% (![]() 0-0 @ 8.23% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 3.67% ( ![]() Other @ 0.59% Total : 23.46% | 0-1 @ 14.17% (![]() 0-2 @ 12.2% ( ![]() 1-2 @ 9.46% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 7.01% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 5.43% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 3.02% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.34% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.11% ( ![]() 0-5 @ 1.04% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 0.91% ( ![]() Other @ 2.3% Total : 59.99% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |