Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 77.79%. A draw had a probability of 14.2% and a win for Arouca had a probability of 8.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.54%) and 1-0 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.72%), while for an Arouca win it was 0-1 (2.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Arouca |
77.79% (![]() | 14.2% (![]() | 8.02% (![]() |
Both teams to score 47.86% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.91% (![]() | 35.09% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.91% (![]() | 57.09% (![]() |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.7% (![]() | 7.31% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
73.58% (![]() | 26.42% (![]() |
Arouca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
51.64% (![]() | 48.37% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16.5% (![]() | 83.5% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Arouca |
2-0 @ 12.09% (![]() 3-0 @ 10.54% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 9.25% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 8.79% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.66% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 6.9% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 5.01% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 3.61% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.78% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 2.62% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.82% ( ![]() 6-0 @ 1.58% ( ![]() 6-1 @ 1.14% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 0.95% ( ![]() Other @ 3.02% Total : 77.77% | 1-1 @ 6.72% (![]() 0-0 @ 3.53% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 3.19% ( ![]() Other @ 0.76% Total : 14.2% | 0-1 @ 2.57% (![]() 1-2 @ 2.44% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 0.93% ( ![]() Other @ 2.08% Total : 8.02% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |