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Serie A | Gameweek 27
Mar 19, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Juventus logo

Inter Milan
0 - 1
Juventus


Barella (30'), Brozovic (90+7'), D'Ambrosio (90+7')
D'Ambrosio (90+8')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kostic (23')
Gatti (31'), Rabiot (71'), Danilo (88'), Paredes (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Inter Milan and Juventus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Porto 0-0 Inter Milan
Tuesday, March 14 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Freiburg 0-2 Juventus
Thursday, March 16 at 5.45pm in Europa League

We said: Inter Milan 2-2 Juventus

Inter have lost three of their last six Serie A matches following Champions League fixtures - including both of their last two - but they have had two days more to recover from their travels than Juventus. In their final game before the international break, both sides will empty the tank in pursuit of Derby d'Italia glory, and there could well be a share of the spoils after an absorbing encounter at San Siro. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 52.56%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Juventus had a probability of 22.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.27%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12%), while for a Juventus win it was 0-1 (7.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result
Inter MilanDrawJuventus
52.56% (1.182 1.18) 25.44% (-0.114 -0.11) 22.01% (-1.067 -1.07)
Both teams to score 47.29% (-0.91200000000001 -0.91)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.97% (-0.561 -0.56)55.03% (0.562 0.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.7% (-0.463 -0.46)76.3% (0.465 0.47)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.03% (0.26600000000001 0.27)20.96% (-0.266 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.28% (0.416 0.42)53.72% (-0.41399999999999 -0.41)
Juventus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.84% (-1.36 -1.36)40.16% (1.36 1.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.2% (-1.264 -1.26)76.8% (1.265 1.27)
Score Analysis
    Inter Milan 52.55%
    Juventus 22.01%
    Draw 25.44%
Inter MilanDrawJuventus
1-0 @ 13.15% (0.39 0.39)
2-0 @ 10.27% (0.379 0.38)
2-1 @ 9.37% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.35% (0.242 0.24)
3-1 @ 4.88% (0.044 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.23% (-0.063 -0.06)
4-0 @ 2.09% (0.11 0.11)
4-1 @ 1.91% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 52.55%
1-1 @ 12% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 8.42% (0.182 0.18)
2-2 @ 4.28% (-0.157 -0.16)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 25.44%
0-1 @ 7.68% (-0.118 -0.12)
1-2 @ 5.47% (-0.248 -0.25)
0-2 @ 3.5% (-0.188 -0.19)
1-3 @ 1.67% (-0.141 -0.14)
2-3 @ 1.3% (-0.099 -0.1)
0-3 @ 1.07% (-0.1 -0.1)
Other @ 1.32%
Total : 22.01%

How you voted: Inter Milan vs Juventus

Inter Milan
45.9%
Draw
20.5%
Juventus
33.6%
146
Head to Head
Nov 6, 2022 7.45pm
May 11, 2022 8pm
Final
Juventus
2-4
Inter Milan
Sandro (50'), Vlahovic (52')
Allegri (83'), Locatelli (90+2')
Allegri (104')
Barella (7'), Calhanoglu (80' pen.), Perisic (98' pen., 102')
Brozovic (55'), Vidal (119')
Apr 3, 2022 7.45pm
Juventus
0-1
Inter Milan

Rabiot (15'), Locatelli (27'), Morata (45+1'), Cuadrado (45+4')
Calhanoglu (45+5' pen.)
Martinez (2'), Skriniar (45+4'), Perisic (75'), Calhanoglu (76')
Jan 12, 2022 8pm
Final
Inter Milan
2-1
Juventus
Martinez (35' pen.), Sanchez (120')
Dzeko (60'), Correa (106'), Vidal (118'), Sanchez (120')
McKennie (25')
Bernardeschi (43'), Dybala (105'), Rugani (109')
Oct 24, 2021 7.45pm
Inter Milan
1-1
Juventus
Dzeko (17')
Barella (40'), Perisic (71')
Inzaghi (89')
Dybala (89' pen.)
Sandro (44'), Chiellini (90+5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108


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