Europa League | Group Stage
Sep 21, 2023 at 5.55pm UK
Stade Joseph Marien
![Toulouse Toulouse](https://sm.imgix.net/19/06/toulog.png?w=60&h=60&auto=compress,format&fit=clip)
Union SG1 - 1Toulouse
FT(HT: 0-1)
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Union SG 0-2 Genk
Saturday, September 16 at 5.15pm in Belgian Pro League
Saturday, September 16 at 5.15pm in Belgian Pro League
Goals
for
for
10
Last Game: Marseille 0-0 Toulouse
Sunday, September 17 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
Sunday, September 17 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
We said: Union SG 1-1 Toulouse
Neither Union SG nor Toulouse are experiencing a purple patch of domestic form at the moment, but if last year is anything to go by, the 11-time Belgian champions are not to be underestimated on the European stage. Toulouse should also harness their knockout specialities from last year's Coupe de France success, but on this occasion, we are finding it nigh on impossible to separate the two teams and expect a low-key draw to be played out at the Constant Vanden Stock Stadium. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 44.58%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 30.43% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 0-1 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Union SG | Draw | Toulouse |
44.58% (![]() | 24.98% (![]() | 30.43% (![]() |
Both teams to score 55.97% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.81% (![]() | 47.19% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.58% (![]() | 69.42% (![]() |
Union SG Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.8% (![]() | 21.2% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.92% (![]() | 54.08% |
Toulouse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.02% (![]() | 28.98% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.13% (![]() | 64.87% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Union SG 44.58%
Toulouse 30.43%
Draw 24.98%
Union SG | Draw | Toulouse |
1-0 @ 9.53% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.16% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.39% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.73% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.82% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.93% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.84% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.48% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.14% ( ![]() Other @ 2.57% Total : 44.58% | 1-1 @ 11.8% 0-0 @ 6.14% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.67% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.21% ( ![]() Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.98% | 0-1 @ 7.61% (![]() 1-2 @ 7.31% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.71% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.02% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.34% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.95% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 0.94% ( ![]() Other @ 2.56% Total : 30.43% |
How you voted: Union SG vs Toulouse
Union SG
50.0%Draw
33.3%Toulouse
16.7%36
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-28 19:52:29
Saturday, June 29
5pm
Round of 16
Switzerland
vs.
Italy
8pm
Round of 16
Germany
vs.
Denmark
Sunday, June 30
5pm
Round of 16
England
vs.
Slovakia
8pm
Round of 16
Spain
vs.
Georgia
Monday, July 1
5pm
Round of 16
France
vs.
Belgium
8pm
Round of 16
Portugal
vs.
Slovenia
Tuesday, July 2
5pm
Round of 16
Romania
vs.
Netherlands
8pm
Round of 16
Austria
vs.
Turkey
Friday, July 5
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 39
vs.
Winner Match 37
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 41
vs.
Winner Match 42
Saturday, July 6
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 40
vs.
Winner Match 38
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 43
vs.
Winner Match 44
Tuesday, July 9
8pm
Wednesday, July 10
8pm
Sunday, July 14
8pm
![Tables header RHS Tables header RHS](https://sm.imgix.net/23/25/tables-header-rhs.jpg?w=300&h=46)
Group A
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Group D
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
1
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Osimhen replacement? £25m Premier League striker 'edging closer' to Italian move
2
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3
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4
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5
![Transfer blow: Man United midfield 'target' rules out summer move Transfer blow: Man United midfield 'target' rules out summer move](https://sm.imgix.net/11/29/1x1.gif?w=1&h=1)
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6
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7
![World Cup finalist to Tottenham? Spurs 'express interest' in France midfielder World Cup finalist to Tottenham? Spurs 'express interest' in France midfielder](https://sm.imgix.net/11/29/1x1.gif?w=1&h=1)
World Cup finalist to Tottenham? Spurs 'express interest' in France midfielder
8
![Chelsea to include two players in deal for Leicester's Dewsbury-Hall? Chelsea to include two players in deal for Leicester's Dewsbury-Hall?](https://sm.imgix.net/11/29/1x1.gif?w=1&h=1)
Chelsea to include two players in deal for Leicester's Dewsbury-Hall?
9
![Stay or go? Man United 'make decision' on Rashford future amid PSG talk Stay or go? Man United 'make decision' on Rashford future amid PSG talk](https://sm.imgix.net/11/29/1x1.gif?w=1&h=1)
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10
![Done deal? Real Madrid forward 'completes' Saudi Arabia move Done deal? Real Madrid forward 'completes' Saudi Arabia move](https://sm.imgix.net/11/29/1x1.gif?w=1&h=1)
Done deal? Real Madrid forward 'completes' Saudi Arabia move
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