We said: Toulouse 1-3 Paris Saint-Germain
Motivated by last weekend's dropped points, Paris Saint-Germain look set to bounce back with a much-needed straightforward victory over Toulouse, who will likely struggle to deal with PSG's attacking firepower. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 55.16%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 22.6% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.01%) and 0-2 (8.59%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 2-1 (5.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Toulouse | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
22.6% ( 0.44) | 22.24% ( 0.51) | 55.16% ( -0.95) |
| Both teams to score 58.07% ( -1.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.87% ( -1.85) | 41.13% ( 1.85) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.47% ( -1.91) | 63.52% ( 1.91) |
| Toulouse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.18% ( -0.64) | 31.82% ( 0.64) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.75% ( -0.74) | 68.25% ( 0.74) |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.17% ( -0.93) | 14.83% ( 0.93) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 56.86% ( -1.8) | 43.14% ( 1.8) |
| Score Analysis |
Toulouse 22.6%
Paris Saint-Germain 55.16%
Draw 22.24%
| Toulouse | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2-1 @ 5.91% ( 0.1) 1-0 @ 5.4% ( 0.35)2-0 @ 3.1% ( 0.15)3-1 @ 2.25% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 1.18% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.61% Total : 22.6% | 1-1 @ 10.31% ( 0.34) 2-2 @ 5.64% ( -0.1)0-0 @ 4.72% ( 0.39)3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.2% Total : 22.24% | 1-2 @ 9.84% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 9.01% ( 0.45)0-2 @ 8.59% ( 0.16)1-3 @ 6.26% ( -0.21)0-3 @ 5.47% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 3.58% ( -0.19)1-4 @ 2.99% ( -0.2)0-4 @ 2.61% ( -0.13)2-4 @ 1.71% ( -0.15)1-5 @ 1.14% ( -0.12)0-5 @ 1% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.97% Total : 55.16% |
How you voted: Toulouse vs PSG
Toulouse
13.7%Draw
7.8%Paris Saint-Germain
78.4%51
Head to Head
Aug 15, 2023 11pm
Final
PSG
P-P
Toulouse
Feb 4, 2023 4pm
Aug 31, 2022 8pm
May 9, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 36
Toulouse
P-P
PSG
Aug 25, 2019 8pm
Gameweek 3
PSG
4-0
Toulouse
Form Guide
